nellofilippone P&P Score: 97.27 Stats nellofilippone IS BEATING THE MARKET TODAY Points: 27.04 (+0.98) Accuracy: 52.38% Annual Return: -13.85%  (-28.30% since 1/27/10) Average Pick Score: 7.64 About Me Real name NELLO FILIPPONE City Pennsylvania State Pennsylvania Favorites nellofilippone has no favorites Groups nellofilippone has no groups

Highlighted Picks Most Recent   02/02/12 SELL    KBH   $11.71 KB HOME   +0.43% Well ahead of itself ... no light at the end of the tunnel for housing More Picks Most Successful   01/25/10 SELL    SHLD   $47.57 SEARS HOLDINGS CORPORATION   +73.61% overvalued Least Successful   11/21/11 BUY    SDS   $16.77 ULTRASHORT S&P500 PROSHARES   -36.11% S&P Breaking through support ... looking for a correction down into 1100 on the …more

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Picks

Open

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

02/02/2012

KBH

SELL

One to Three Months

$9.65

$11.71 (+0.43%)

-

+21.35%

+1.29%

-20.06

view close

02/02/2012

MON

SELL

One to Three Months

$82.13

$77.34 (+0.16%)

-

-5.83%

+1.29%

+7.12

view close

01/05/2012

CF

SELL

One to Three Months

$159.66

$180.15 (-0.02%)

-

+12.83%

+4.81%

-8.03

view close

12/20/2011

GS

BUY

Week to a Month

$90.98

$114.12 (+0.25%)

-

+25.43%

+8.16%

+17.27

view close

12/14/2011

URBN

SELL

Week or Less

$27.11

$27.00 (+0.48%)

-

-0.41%

+10.80%

+11.20

view close

12/08/2011

RL

SELL

One to Three Months

$146.34

$172.60 (+0.03%)

-

+17.94%

+8.77%

-9.17

view close

12/08/2011

UAL

SELL

Week to a Month

$19.71

$23.75 (-0.02%)

-

+20.50%

+8.77%

-11.72

view close

11/21/2011

LVS

SELL

One to Three Months

$43.67

$51.59 (+0.07%)

-

+18.14%

+12.55%

-5.59

view close

11/21/2011

LEN

SELL

One to Three Months

$17.32

$23.35 (+0.39%)

-

+34.82%

+12.55%

-22.27

view close

11/21/2011

SDS

BUY

Week to a Month

$21.94

$16.77 (-0.48%)

-

-23.57%

+12.55%

-36.11

view close

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Closed

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

01/25/2010

AAPL

SELL

Week to a Month

$205.94

-

$379.56

+84.31%

+7.48%

-75.47

2011-08-12 12:24:17

view close

01/25/2010

UAUA

SELL

Week to a Month

$12.79

-

-100.00%

+17.73%

+117.73

2012-01-11 08:43:20

view close

All

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

02/02/2012

KBH

SELL

One to Three Months

$9.65

$11.71 (+0.43%)

-

+21.35%

+1.29%

-20.06

view close

02/02/2012

MON

SELL

One to Three Months

$82.13

$77.34 (+0.16%)

-

-5.83%

+1.29%

+7.12

view close

01/05/2012

CF

SELL

One to Three Months

$159.66

$180.15 (-0.02%)

-

+12.83%

+4.81%

-8.03

view close

12/20/2011

GS

BUY

Week to a Month

$90.98

$114.12 (+0.25%)

-

+25.43%

+8.16%

+17.27

view close

12/14/2011

URBN

SELL

Week or Less

$27.11

$27.00 (+0.48%)

-

-0.41%

+10.80%

+11.20

view close

12/08/2011

RL

SELL

One to Three Months

$146.34

$172.60 (+0.03%)

-

+17.94%

+8.77%

-9.17

view close

12/08/2011

UAL

SELL

Week to a Month

$19.71

$23.75 (-0.02%)

-

+20.50%

+8.77%

-11.72

view close

11/21/2011

LVS

SELL

One to Three Months

$43.67

$51.59 (+0.07%)

-

+18.14%

+12.55%

-5.59

view close

11/21/2011

LEN

SELL

One to Three Months

$17.32

$23.35 (+0.39%)

-

+34.82%

+12.55%

-22.27

view close

11/21/2011

SDS

BUY

Week to a Month

$21.94

$16.77 (-0.48%)

-

-23.57%

+12.55%

-36.11

view close

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Commentary

SELL: KB HOME (KBH) Start Price: $9.65 Points: -20.06 Created: 02/02/2012 Well ahead of itself ... no light at the end of the tunnel for housing Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: MONSANTO COMPANY (MON) Start Price: $82.13 Points: +7.12 Created: 02/02/2012 1: Stocks up 30% since middle DEC, mostly bc of litigation of there round-up product. No real effect on earnings. 2. Trading at 25 multiple to earnings, growth is around 10%. This is a 10% premium to its piers. 3. Mediocre revs, more of a dividend play than a growth play, but priced for growth. 4. Increased opposition to their genetically modified seed product (their bread and butter). Several states oppose their use and many european countries. 5. China released last night that… More Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: CF IND HLDGS INC (CF) Start Price: $159.66 Points: -8.03 Created: 01/05/2012 Had a nice run but rarnings are coming in. MOS missed on revs today 1/5/12, gonna be the same for the sector. Aslo, dollar is getting stronger and will continue, so commodity related equities will be react negatively Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

BUY: GOLDMAN SACHS GRP (GS) Start Price: $90.98 Points: +17.27 Created: 12/20/2011 Short term play. JEF out with pretty good earnings today, will lift financials. GS, bouncing off the high 80's for the 3rd time, it either bounces or goes lower below 87. Im betting we get a little Christmas bounce here up till the high 90's or even 100 level. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: URBAN OUTFITTERS INC. (URBN) Start Price: $27.11 Points: +11.20 Created: 12/14/2011 Constant decrease in earnings, got a nice pop yesterday bc of CEO comments sale look good this week ', seriously?!? .. good entry point to short up here. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: RALPH LAUREN POLO CP (RL) Start Price: $146.34 Points: -9.17 Created: 12/08/2011 Showing a slowdown in their numbers, had a nice bounce, dont think retail is gonna have a good Christmas when it comes to the bottom line. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: UNITED CONTINENTAL HOLDINGS INC (UAL) Start Price: $19.71 Points: -11.72 Created: 12/08/2011 At a point of resistance, good play for a 10% correction. Your out is 20.80. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: LAS VEGAS SANDS CORP (LVS) Start Price: $43.67 Points: -5.59 Created: 11/21/2011 Slowdown in Macau revs, had good number in Vegas last qtr, dont believe that will last. Housing prices in Macau have dropped 20% in last qtr, doesnt bode well for gaming economy. Freeze on new gaming licenses till 2013, priced for growth, there will be none for a few years in their hottest area. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

SELL: LENNAR CP CL A (LEN) Start Price: $17.32 Points: -22.27 Created: 11/21/2011 Had a nice run-up, but housing is not coming back anytime soon. Fundamentals are not very good, looking for a correction of at least 10%. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

BUY: ULTRASHORT S&P500 PROSHARES (SDS) Start Price: $21.94 Points: -36.11 Created: 11/21/2011 S&P Breaking through support ... looking for a correction down into 1100 on the S&P. Comments: 0 | Comment nellofilippone Recs:

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