mgendron P&P Score: 0.75 Stats mgendron IS BEATING THE MARKET TODAY Points: -160.89 (+0.45) Accuracy: 33.33% Annual Return: -25.21%  (-70.86% since 4/21/09) Average Pick Score: -89.38 About Me Real name MICHEL GENDRON Favorites mgendron has no favorites Groups mgendron has no groups

Highlighted Picks Most Recent   04/22/09 SELL    OMX   $5.63 OFFICEMAX INC.   -3.43% Economic conditions do not presently favor either fundamental or share-price improvement for this chronic underperformer. It is prudent to redeploy eq…more More Picks Most Successful   04/20/09 SELL    CEDC   $5.55 CENTRAL EUROPEAN DISTRIBUTION CORPOR   +129.84% $6.50 to just under $20 in six weeks qualifies as "too much, too fast". This mar…more Least Successful   04/20/09 SELL    TRW   $41.26 TRW AUTOMOTIVE HLDGS   -502.26% Auto Industry tribulations are far from over. Pending reorganizations leave supp…more

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Picks

Open

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

04/22/2009

OMX

SELL

Week to a Month

$6.33

$5.63 (-3.43%)

-

-11.06%

+58.89%

+69.95

view close

04/22/2009

CTB

SELL

Week to a Month

$7.38

$15.92 (-3.63%)

-

+115.72%

+58.89%

-56.82

view close

04/20/2009

CEDC

SELL

One to Three Months

$17.80

$5.55 (-3.73%)

-

-68.82%

+61.02%

+129.84

view close

04/20/2009

TUP

SELL

Week to a Month

$20.61

$61.62 (-2.17%)

-

+198.98%

+61.02%

-137.96

view close

04/20/2009

CLS

SELL

Week to a Month

$4.44

$8.74 (+1.04%)

-

+96.85%

+61.02%

-35.82

view close

04/20/2009

TRW

SELL

Week to a Month

$6.22

$41.26 (-2.19%)

-

+563.28%

+61.02%

-502.26

view close

04/20/2009

MGM

SELL

Week to a Month

$5.02

$14.61 (+0.82%)

-

+191.04%

+61.02%

-130.01

view close

04/20/2009

WOR

SELL

Week to a Month

$12.78

$17.87 (-3.67%)

-

+39.83%

+61.02%

+21.20

view close

04/20/2009

SRS

BUY

Week to a Month

$498.60

$31.91 (+1.92%)

-

-93.60%

+61.02%

-154.62

view close

Closed

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

All

Start Date

Ticker

Rating

Call

Time Frame

Start Price

Today (change)

End Price

Stock Gain

S&P Gain

Points

End Date

Analysis

04/22/2009

OMX

SELL

Week to a Month

$6.33

$5.63 (-3.43%)

-

-11.06%

+58.89%

+69.95

view close

04/22/2009

CTB

SELL

Week to a Month

$7.38

$15.92 (-3.63%)

-

+115.72%

+58.89%

-56.82

view close

04/20/2009

CEDC

SELL

One to Three Months

$17.80

$5.55 (-3.73%)

-

-68.82%

+61.02%

+129.84

view close

04/20/2009

TUP

SELL

Week to a Month

$20.61

$61.62 (-2.17%)

-

+198.98%

+61.02%

-137.96

view close

04/20/2009

CLS

SELL

Week to a Month

$4.44

$8.74 (+1.04%)

-

+96.85%

+61.02%

-35.82

view close

04/20/2009

TRW

SELL

Week to a Month

$6.22

$41.26 (-2.19%)

-

+563.28%

+61.02%

-502.26

view close

04/20/2009

MGM

SELL

Week to a Month

$5.02

$14.61 (+0.82%)

-

+191.04%

+61.02%

-130.01

view close

04/20/2009

WOR

SELL

Week to a Month

$12.78

$17.87 (-3.67%)

-

+39.83%

+61.02%

+21.20

view close

04/20/2009

SRS

BUY

Week to a Month

$498.60

$31.91 (+1.92%)

-

-93.60%

+61.02%

-154.62

view close

Commentary

SELL: OFFICEMAX INC. (OMX) Start Price: $6.33 Points: +69.95 Created: 04/22/2009 Economic conditions do not presently favor either fundamental or share-price improvement for this chronic underperformer. It is prudent to redeploy equity to a stock with better appreciation prospects (following a sizeable near-term market correction). Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: COOPER TIRE RUBBER (CTB) Start Price: $7.38 Points: -56.82 Created: 04/22/2009 Fundamentally, CTB faces many uphill challenges, including falling revenues; technically, overhead resistance at $9 or so will likely prove insurmountable in the near-term. Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: CENTRAL EUROPEAN DISTRIBUTION CORPOR (CEDC) Start Price: $17.80 Points: +129.84 Created: 04/20/2009 $6.50 to just under $20 in six weeks qualifies as "too much, too fast". This market darling of just a year ago met some reality as the East European economies suffered some bad press since then. Given the shares' severe oversold status into early March, a rebound was expected. But "enough is enough", at least until improvement in the market's perception regarding prospects for improvement in liquor consumption in Eastern Europe (mostly Poland) indicates otherwise. Given the "staple" nature of th… More Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: TUPPERWARE BRANDS CP (TUP) Start Price: $20.61 Points: -137.96 Created: 04/20/2009 A particularly strong near-term uptrend usually precedes a pending reverion to the mean. It would take a very strong earnings figure tomorrow to offset the propensity for a market correction to drag this stock down. This equates to a Sell at this time, with a potential buyback around $10. Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: CELESTICA SUB VTG (CLS) Start Price: $4.44 Points: -35.82 Created: 04/20/2009 CLS continues to be subjected to a margin squeeze despite restructuring efforts, so substantial bottom line gains may take a while. Long-term recovery potential seem wothwhile. Meantime, recent 6-week strenght will likely wane during a pending market correction. Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: TRW AUTOMOTIVE HLDGS (TRW) Start Price: $6.22 Points: -502.26 Created: 04/20/2009 Auto Industry tribulations are far from over. Pending reorganizations leave suppliers subject to tumultuous challenges and much risk. Long-term recovery potential may be OK, but not in the near-term. Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: M G M MIRAGE (MGM) Start Price: $5.02 Points: -130.01 Created: 04/20/2009 Fundamentals are rotten! Bottom fishers who boosted the price recently will run for cover in a weak market. (have NO interest even at a lower price) Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

SELL: WORTHINGTON INDS (WOR) Start Price: $12.78 Points: +21.20 Created: 04/20/2009 Long-term depressed, but near-term bounce too strong - not likely to hold in a weak market. Though an early cyclical, WOR will continue to languish during a SLOW economic recovery. (probably a Buy again at 10 or so) Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs:

BUY: ULTRASHORT REAL ESTATE PROSHARES (SRS) Start Price: $498.60 Points: -154.62 Created: 04/20/2009 Industry's fundamentals are extremely poor. ETF is oversold near-term in a market over-bought near-term. Actually sold an atm near PUT option on SRS. Comments: 0 | Comment mgendron Recs: