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S&P 500: 1,317.45 Change: +0.03%
Vet67to82
P&P Score: 0.31 | Points: -606.29 | Accuracy: 68.73 | Average Pick Score: -4.46   Annual Return: N/A  
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BUY: FREEPORT MCMORAN B (FCX) Rating: 3
Start Price: $43.07
Points: -26.50
Created: 01/17/2012
When I run my analyses, I run BOTH the Bull side AND the Bear side statistics. When I post observations I try to include BOTH, but, sometimes there isn't anything statistically significant to the flipside statistics. While anyone predicting GOLD at $5000 per troy oz is making an unrealistic assessment ... but even that should get the qualifier: "AT THIS TIME."

Think about it. The price of gold is an equation factoring in the gold locked in the Ft. Knox's of the world, the ETF's and the the average joe and jane with their wedding bands, neck chains, ... rings and bling.

( 1) There are about 7 billion people on the planet, if everyone wants 1 troy ounce of gold ... how many people have NONE? What price would the people who have none be willing to pay?

( 2) Now when the global population get to the projected 10 billion ... if everyone wants 1 troy ounce of gold ... how many people have NONE? What price would the people who have none be willing to pay?

That's the "What if?" math.

1 Comment(s):

Author Vet67to82     Date 2012-01-22 18:32:59
Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc. ( FCX ) said Thursday 1/29/2012, its fouth-quarter profit fell to $640 million, or 67 cents a share, from $1.5 billion, vs. $1.63 a share in the year-ago period. Revenue dropped to $4.16 billion, from $5.6 billion. Wall Street analysts expected the company to earn 61 cents a share on revenue of $3.85 billion. Freeport-McMoRan said its results were impacted by a strike at its Grasberg mine in Indonesia, but that the dispute has now been resolved. "We are continuing to advance our growth projects which are expected to result in meaningful increases to copper... production in future periods ... ," the company said. "Our exploration programs continue to identify opportunities to grow our reserve base. We ended the year with significantly more cash than debt and have a positive outlook for the future prospects of our business."
I especially like the " ... significantly more cash than debt ..." part.
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