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S&P 500: 1,317.45 Change: +0.03%
Vet67to82
P&P Score: 0.31 | Points: -606.29 | Accuracy: 68.73 | Average Pick Score: -4.46   Annual Return: N/A  
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Commentary
BUY: DIREXION SHS ETF TR (FAS) Rating: 1
Start Price: $114.70
Points: -48.84
Created: 07/26/2010
I started work on altering my DJIA and S&P 500 algorithms to work with FAS ... because it owns and hold stocks, besides the long swaps ... Despite the "work in progress" and the fact that FAS is a leveraged 3x ...

This is preliminary ... and posting here ... so you be the judge:

FAS ... be thee Bull or Bear ...

Date .... .... Low .... Close .... Bull .... Bear
7/1/2010 .... 17.40 .... 18.73 .... 19.76 .... 18.29
7/2/2010 .... 17.71 .... 18.18 .... 19.39 .... 17.95
7/5/2010 .... 18.18 .... 18.18 .... 18.82 .... 17.42 ( July 4th - market was closed placeholder)
7/6/2010 .... 17.73 .... 18..31.... 18.82 .... 17.42
7/7/2010 .... 18.55 .... 20.58 .... 18.95 .... 17.55
7/8/2010 .... 20.17 .... 21.04 .... 21.30 .... 19.72
7/9/2010 .... 20.86 .... 22.05 .... 21.78 .... 20.16
7/12/2010 .. 21.32 .... 22.01 .... 22.82 .... 21.13
7/13/2010 .. 22.81 .... 23.57 .... 22.78 .... 21.09
7/14/2010 .. 22.42 .... 23.06 .... 24.39 .... 22.59
7/15/2010 .. 21.56 .... 22.94 .... 23.87 .... 22.10
7/16/2010 .. 20.00 .... 20.14 .... 23.74 .... 21.98
7/19/2010 .. 19.24 .... 20.11 .... 20.84 .... 19.30
7/20/2010 .. 18.98 .... 20.82 .... 20.81 .... 19.27
7/21/2010 .. 19.65 .... 19.80 .... 21.55 .... 19.95
7/22/2010 .. 20.50 .... 21.49 .... 20.49 .... 18.97
7/23/2010 .. 20.85 .... 21.98 .... 22.24 .... 20.59

and for Monday:
7/26/2010 .. 00.00 .... 00.00 .... 22.75 .... 21.06

I especially like how the Bear ( stage 1 estimates) are lining up with the lows and while I still have more work to do with the formulae .... to get closer . I like what I see so far ..


11 Comment(s):

Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-07-26 15:42:30
Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3X Shares FAS 07/26/2010 3:35PM EST
$22.79 +$0.81 + 3.69% Vol 35,163,198

Chart Checkup ( 15 minute / 10 days )

Moving Average Price Compare -- No current signals

Moving Average Price Compare -- No current signals

Moving Average Price Compare - No current signals

Bollinger Bands
FAS has been relatively stable recently. This is evidenced by the width of its Bollinger Bands which are tighter than normal. Additionally, FAS is trading within its Bollinger Bands. This is a normal condition and suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold relative to the recent price action.

Stochastics
The Stochastic Oscillator is registering a strong bullish signal as the %K has crossed above the %D and the oscillator recently moved above the critical value of 20 and is no longer oversold.

On Balance Volume
The On Balance Volume indicator (OBV) presently offers a bullish signal. This is because the slope of the indicator is positive and shows that there is considerable buying interest.

Price Channel
FAS is trading within its price channel. This is a normal condition and suggests that the stock is neither overbought nor oversold relative to the price action over the last 5 minute period.
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-07-27 11:48:17
MyCall for the close ... preliminary ( stage 1) ... be thee Bull or Bear ...

( 1) Working on Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares FAS
FAS Date Open High Low Close Volume
Jul 26, 2010 22.04 23.05 21.82 22.94 42,118,721

MyCall for 7/27/2010 ..Bullish .... $23.74 ....or Bearish ... 21.98 ( watch the low!)
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-07-27 12:46:42
Just posted the FAS Holdings .... and they did change .... check it out in "FAS Holdings"

Now the holdings are so huge it's difficult to see the changes unless you load it into a spreadsheet ... however, if you bring up "Notepad" and cut n' paste 1 to 5 of the previous day's holding from the list. You can then compare small samples to get the big picture ...

Take AMB as an example:

Date .... Account Ticker,Stock Ticker,Cusip,Security Description,Shares,Price,Market Value

7/26/2010 FAS,AMB,00163T109,AMB Property Corp,100525.00,24.52,2464873
7/23/2010 FAS,AMB,00163T109,AMB Property Corp,111313.00,23.40,2604724.2

.... looks like FAS SOLD 10788 shares of AMB $24.74 +$0.22 +0.90% 12:40 PM ET


Learning the little pieces of the puzzle, how they fit to show the picture, the BIG picture, like this one little piece of the 500 piece puzzle is how you BEAT the High Frequency Trading Computers.

You NEED math to fight math!

Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-07-27 14:34:33
Symbol Price $ Chg % Chg Volume Bid Ask Alerts
C 4.18 +0.03 +0.72 444,110,789 4.18 4.19
jpm 40.87 +0.54 +1.34 31,345,112 40.87 40.88
wfc 28.425 +0.515 +1.85 26,724,794 28.42 28.43
bac 14.295 +0.145 +1.02 134,852,998 14.29 14.30
gs 148.10 -0.10 -0.07 5,328,012 148.10 148.11
bk 26.30 -0.01 -0.04 4,711,296 26.30 26.31
usb 24.33 +0.21 +0.87 6,044,210 24.33 24.34
trv 50.50 +0.05 +0.10 4,003,426 50.50 50.51
ms 27.21 +0.21 +0.78 13,647,086 27.20 27.21

ETF Symbol Price $ Chg % Chg Volume Bid Ask Alerts
FAS 23.28 +0.34 +1.48 32,762,308 23.27 23.28
XLF 14.85 +0.09 +0.61 79,619,234 14.84 14.85
FAZ 13.45 -0.16 -1.18 43,520,092 13.44 13.45
TYD 57.32 -0.62 -1.07 2,606 57.27 57.28
TYO 48.131 +0.421 +0.88 4,400 48.23 48.30
TMF 41.517 -1.133 -2.66 22,183 41.49 41.54
TMV 43.74 +1.18 +2.77 258,081 43.73 43.75
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-08-02 13:04:17
MyCall for the close ( stage 2 and 3 ) ... be thee Bull or Bear ...

( 1) FAS Previous Close $22.61 .--- Bullish .... $23.95
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-08-24 13:59:47
Market drop offering a buy opportunity

FAS $18.14 -0.52 (-2.79%) 11:42AM EDT
Range 17.57 - 18.27
Vol / Avg. 26.76M/42.89M

FAS 52 week $17.40 - 39.74

Author JoeJustJoe     Date 2010-08-24 17:39:52
I wuz just wonderin thur, Vet. Why go thru all the trouble with these mathematatical sequences whenst the chart already told us that FAS 17.40 needed to go bye bye even as that price was set several weeks ago? Just wonderin is all. :-) BTW, I'm still tryin ta git a rally in Fode but it ainna co-operating. I gots nooooo sympathy fer the fokes holdin Earl after not lissnen to me whenst I sed I wuz gonna spalunk USO n OIL. I certainly wanna see Sheeeyitty Group rally tho. In fackt...I gar-own-tee it! Uh...based on that "OBV thingy" again :-) 3J
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-08-25 14:11:33
NAV (8/24/2010) vs Market Price Closing (8/24/2010)

FAS Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares $17.77 $-0.87 -4.66%
FAS closing price $17.78 $-0.88 -4.72%
FAS Premium/Discount to NAV 0.01
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-09-13 17:43:09
From my spreadsheets ...
The Direxion Daily Financial Bull (FAS)
September 2010 as of August 31, 2010 thru September 10, 2010

Open-High-Low-Close-Volume (x100) numbers
8/31/2010 .. Tu .. 17.48 .. 18.11 .. 17.13 .. 17.90 .. 424537 .. +0.30 .. +1.7045%
9/10/2010 ..Fr .... 21.40 .. 21.67 .. 21.21 .. 21.44 .. 206422 .. +0.13 .. +0.6100%

( 1) OPEN +3.92
( 2) HIGH +3.56
( 3) LOW +4.08
( 4) CLOSE +3.54 +19.78%

The worst daily change -1.37 (-6.3367%) on 9/7/2010
The best daily change +1.96 +10.9497% on 9/1/2010

Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-10-30 16:36:31
Direxion Daily Finan. Bull 3X Shs(ETF, NYSE:FAS)

Oct 29, 2010 Close $22.18 -0.07 (-0.31%)
After Hours: $22.15 -0.03 (-0.14%) Oct 29, 2010 7:59 PM ET
- Oct 29 Lo to Hi: 21.93 - 22.30
- 52 week 17.05 - 39.74
- Oct 29 Open 22.10
- Oct 29 Vol / Avg. 21.37M/33.84B
Author Vet67to82     Date 2010-10-30 16:37:04
FAS Date .. Open .. High .. Low .. Close .. Volume
Oct 29, 2010 22.10 22.30 21.93 22.18 21,371,850
Oct 28, 2010 22.68 22.80 21.90 22.25 31,180,297
Oct 27, 2010 22.16 22.57 22.00 22.44 28,253,812
Oct 26, 2010 22.15 22.53 21.97 22.44 21,268,811
Oct 25, 2010 23.09 23.13 22.30 22.42 28,833,900
Oct 22, 2010 22.66 22.91 22.33 22.56 17,353,119
Oct 21, 2010 22.88 23.29 22.12 22.53 33,562,434
Oct 20, 2010 21.97 22.86 21.55 22.66 43,090,249
Oct 19, 2010 22.29 23.15 21.66 21.89 48,653,404
Oct 18, 2010 21.33 22.77 21.32 22.62 29,156,149
Oct 15, 2010 22.64 22.83 21.16 21.51 49,870,506
Oct 14, 2010 22.98 23.07 21.87 22.44 50,791,270
Oct 13, 2010 23.61 23.92 23.14 23.39 33,069,098
Oct 12, 2010 22.22 23.30 22.05 23.19 26,639,897
Oct 11, 2010 22.72 22.75 22.30 22.53 17,072,677
Oct 08, 2010 22.46 22.69 22.21 22.58 22,746,834
Oct 07, 2010 22.97 23.17 22.11 22.45 29,901,419
Oct 06, 2010 22.76 22.98 22.51 22.69 29,686,046
Oct 05, 2010 21.93 22.95 21.45 22.75 54,796,988
Oct 04, 2010 21.67 22.14 21.10 21.44 33,620,122
Oct 01, 2010 21.90 22.00 21.21 21.82 39,015,913

Sep 30, 2010 21.72 22.39 21.27 21.34 45,337,556


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