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Vet67to82
Vet67to82
P&P Score: 0.31   Points: -608.47   Accuracy: 68.73%   Average Pick Score: -4.50   Annual Return: 16.23% (40.60% since 11/25/09)  

Vet67to82's Blog : Alcoa Inc (AA) 2012

Date January 4, 2012    Comments Comments (5)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (98)   
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Alcoa Inc. produces primary aluminum, fabricated aluminum, and alumina, and participates in mining, refining, smelting, fabricating, and recycling. The Company serves customers worldwide primarily in the transportation, packaging, building, and industrial markets with both fabricated and finished products.


AA pays a dividend. the last payment was $0.03 per share payable 11/25/2011. The ex-dividend date was 11/2/2011, and the Date of Record to receive the dividend was 11/4/2011.


 -- From my spreadsheets Alcoa Inc (AA) :


-Yield, 52wk Hi, 52wk Lo, PE -ttm, PE -fwd, shs outstd,  MrktCap         


1.39  .. 18.47 ..  8.45  ..    9.61  ..  10.61 ...  1.06B  ...  9.82B


  *Analyst rankings: S&P ranks AA with 4 out of 5 stars. Stock Scouter ranks AA as a 7 out of 10.   Zacks ranks AA as a 4 -Sell


In the previous quarter AA reported 5c in earnings, is projected to report 15c in earnings on 1/9/2012. The previous earnings report was approx 37% LESS than expected and therefore a MISS. EPS (ttm) $0.95 One year target price for AA is $12.42 +/-0.25.  Fair Value calculation for AA is $17.28 +/-0.25.  PEg ratio for AA is 0.51 (less than 1.00 is really good)  Book value is $13.97.


 AA price/ book value is 0.66


Alcoa (NYSE:AA) has potential upside of 35.6% based on a current price of $9.43 and analysts' consensus price target of $12.78. The stock should run into initial resistance at its 50-day moving average (MA) of $9.74 and subsequent resistance at its 200-day MA of $13.24.

Tags : AA  

5 Comment(s):

Author JoeJustJoe     Date January 4, 2012 16:10 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Actually thur, Vet, it "will" (nevermind "should") take out todaze high ov nine fitty ann then it twill git cut in haff and THEN it'll be a GOOG buy. Unlike ENER, which needed to git cut in haff about 4 times from wherst you wreck-o-mended it, AA only needs ta git cut in haff once. Keep smokin em out...yer gettin butter at this sheeyit :-) 3J
Author Vet67to82     Date January 4, 2012 16:21  Edited: January 4, 2012 by Vet67to82 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Smiling and shaking my head JoeJustJoe ... thanks, I think, I always strive to do better ... and correct my mistakes as best as possible. Sometimes, however, it's not that the facts are wrong, it's just that Mr. Market doesn't care , or is off on a tangent somewhere else. keep in mind, also, that approximately 70 percent of the market is electronic day trading with an average holding time, last time I checked, of about 15 to 20 SECONDS.

When the average holding time is just 15 to 20 seconds ... the facts just don't matter!

Thanks Joe. Also, I did see you rec'd a "BUY" on ZSL a couple of dats after I suggested a SELL ... I think I got that one right ... so far!.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date January 4, 2012 18:50 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Actually, Vetski ole pal, ifn you look back at our conservations over the years you will "agree" that mosta what I sed came troo...ssspecially about the finanshills like BAC, AMTD, n C to name 3. The "lesson" in it all? >>> The compooters kin only control the axshun fo so long befo the "real" market takes over. As you already "know" ...I AM the market :-) I plan on closing out that ZSL long in the moanin actually. It will 'eventually" go down ann take out 10.63...but fer right now it will only trade belowst 13.69 ann then run thru $20 dollahs in all likelihood. I ainn quite ready to COMPLETELY ann totally deeestroy ALL measures ov bubbleiciousness quite yet. I will save my "finest" hour fo the one the Lemmings sssthinks noooobudy kin destroy. Thisn right cheeeya >>> AAPL *-) Fer now I'm jist planning on makin em too skeeeerd to >>> Buy the pullback! *-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date January 15, 2012 15:26 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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BTW, I mentioned ENER in one o'me replies to ya ann that it twas "gettin close" ...well, how'd ya like THAT move last week? :o BTW, ENER is now a sell! sell! sell! :-) 3J
Author Vet67to82     Date January 16, 2012 11:47 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hello JoeJust Joe. Yes, you did mentioned ENER, and I was looking at ENER as a real speculative buy, with real cash, in the real world. I do disagree on the "... sell!, sell!, sell! ... " at this time

Thanks for the heads up anyway!! I want to see how this plays out.
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