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Vet67to82
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Vet67to82's Blog : Wednesday, 11/3/2010 OurCall for the Close

Date November 3, 2010  Edited: November 3, 2010    Comments Comments (14)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (103)   
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The election is in the books. The Democrats standing for re-election got their long overdue wakeup call, and still hold the US Senate, but their filibuster breaking majority is gone. The Republicans are now the majority in the US House.

The President and the US Congress NEVER got their PRIORITIES straight. Arguably, the Healthcare work needed to be done, but it was done WRONG. Plus, the focus SHOULD have been on the US Economy, and getting people, that want to work, back to work by stopping the transfer of intellectual property, technology, and outsourcing to other countries.

Today is STILL going to be the soap opera of the mid-term elections and now the Presidential elections, though 2 years away, is next.

Earnings reports have been, and continue to be, a nice market driver, despite the occasional disappointing miss. Besides earnings, the drivers of the market indices, today, next week, even the end of the year, are, and will be:

(1) the US Dollar's fluctuations against the Euro, YEN, etc. which will drive commodity prices as well as the related stocks, industries, and sector, therein affecting the overall market ... bullish, or bearish.
(2) the FED and today's FOMC meeting conclusion and what the FED reports as to the form, substance, and size, of the next round of quantative easing (QE2);
(3) Focus is also on the financials, foreclosures, and new and old home sales and construction.
(4) JOBs, jobs, jobs ...

For the rest of the story, and OurCall for the Close, see the comments, replies, and links below.

Tags : QE2   CSCO   COMP   DJIA   SPX   SPY   FAS   FAZ   DIA   A   AA   ALL   AXP   BA   BAC   C   CAT   CHK   CVS   CVX   DD   DIS   GE   HD   HES   HPQ   IBM   INTC   JCP   JNJ   JPM   KFT   KO   MCD   MMM   MRK   MSFT   PFE   PG   T   TRV   UTX   VZ   WMT   XOM   ING   GLD   SLV   PAAS   UXG   DHT   DRYS   EGLE   GASS   OSG   AAPL   ALKS   AMLN   GOOG   MCP   MEE   NCR   TDC  

14 Comment(s):

Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 10:56 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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FOMC statement around 2:15 PM ET today. The FED is expected to take action, bandied about : $500 billion and upwards to $2 TRILLION dollars in debt purchases, to boost the economy ... but, will that CREATE JOBS. I think not, I do think QE2 , if $500B or greater, WILL benefit the markets, and the banks, and the financial sector ... but I do NOT see how that will translate into JOBS today, tomorrow, and next week.

- ADP Employment Change surpasses expectations as US companies added 43,000 positions in October
- ISM Service Index due out at 10:00 AM ET
- US EIA Crude and Crude products report due around 10:30 AM ET. Crude oil and gold prices rise as the dollar declines.
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 11:01 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Early Glance: Telecom companies 11/3/2010 10:48 AM
Early Glance: Utilities companies 11/3/2010 10:48 AM
Early Glance: Insurers companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Internet companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Machinery companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Investment Banks companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Drugstore companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Durable Goods companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Education companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Electrical companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Finance companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Gold companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Homebuilders companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Health Care Equipment companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Media companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Managed Care companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: PBM companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Oil companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Medical Devices companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Early Glance: Pharmaceuticals companies 11/3/2010 10:45 AM
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 11:02 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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More top stories
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Video: Russia making Potash bid?
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 11:11 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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MarketWatch Morning Stock Talk

Nov. 3, 2010, 10:49 a.m. EDT

Audio: Carlson: Why Dow 11,205 is key

- http://www.marketwatch.com/story/carlson-why-dow-11205-is-key-2010-11-03
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 12:08 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Give your elected US Senate officials a piece of your mind:

- http://www.senate.gov/general/contact_information/senators_cfm.cfm
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 12:44 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Commodities Last Change %Change
Gold DEC-2010 $1,335.20 -$21.70 -1.60% (per troy ounce)
Silver DEC-2010 $24.27 -$0.57 -2.30% (per troy ounce)
Light Sweet Crude DEC-2010 $84.39 +0.49 +0.58% (per barrel)
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 12:48 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Approximately 12:45 PM ET
Dow Jones 11,163.33 -25.39 (-0.23%)
S&P 500 1,189.67 -3.90 (-0.33%)
Nasdaq 2,521.73 -11.79 (-0.47%)

Every sector is in the RED ... pending the outcome of the FOMC meeting 2:15 PM ET today

Sector Change % down / up
Basic Materials -0.63%
Capital Goods -0.81%
Conglomerates -0.33%
Cons. Cyclical -0.07%
Cons. Non-Cyclical -0.58%
Energy -0.43%
Financial -0.15%
Healthcare -0.29%
Services -0.38%
Technology -0.31%
Transportation -0.24%
Utilities -0.49%
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 14:32 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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The FOMC set its sight on $600 billion in QE2 accomodation ... the markets probably wanted more and the bears will be loving that. Apparently Mr Hoenig, the lone dissenter, agrees with me.

Text of FOMC statement

- http://www.marketwatch.com/story/text-of-fomc-statement-2010-11-03

Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 15:13 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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@ ( 1) OurCall for the FASclose Wedneday, 11/3/2010 ...( stage1 projection )

Even if one is neither bullish nor bearish ... you'll see a HIGH for the day and a LOW for the day. The calculations below represent a guideline, not a pitch for Bulls, or a pitch for the Bears. Everyone is then free to watch day after day whether my posts represent an honest attempt to help ... and I hope I am helping.

Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares
Tueday, 11/2/2010 ... FAS Close $22.44 +0.24 (1.08%)
After Hours: $22.65 +0.21 (0.94%) Nov 2, 2010 7:59 PM ET

-- Day's Range $22.27 - 22.64 and 52 week range $17.05 - 39.74

FAS .Bullish .... $23.17 ... or Bearish ... $21.65

-- YTD 112 UP days vs 98 DOWN days ( 2 up days, Last 10 days: 5 up/4 dn )
-- November 2010 MTD +$0.26 and Nov 2010 % mtd +1.172%

note- when there is no change, day to day, in the closing prices, I will be counting "no change" days as "up" days
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 15:21 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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@( 2) OurCall for the DJIAclose Wedneday, 11/3/2010 ... ( stage1 projection ) ... be thee Bull, or Bear, ... or Neither
Tueday, 11/2/2010 ... DJIA Close 11,188.72 +64.10 (0.58%)

DJIA ... Bullish 11,263.68 (+0.67%) ... or Bearish 11,095.85 (-0.83%)**

---- YTD 121 UP days vs 90 DOWN days ( 3 up days, Last 10 days: 7 up/3 dn )
---- November 2010 MTD +70.23 points; Nov2010 % mtd +0.632%

** Note previous posts and the Bearishness, while still greater than that projected for the Bulls, is shifting more often; the DJIA

Bearish percentage calculation declined from -- (-0.98%) to (-0.97%) to (-0.96%) to (-0.95%) to (-0.94%) and now (-0.83%)
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 15:28 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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@ - ( 3) OurCall for the S&P500close Wedneday, 11/3/2010 ... ( stage1 projection ) ... be thee Bull or Bear ... or Neither
Tueday, 11/2/2010 ... S&P 500 Close 1,193.57 +9.19 (0.78%)

S&P 500 .... Bullish 1,203.12 (+0.79%) ... or Bearish 1,182.95 (-0.90%)

---- YTD 118 UP days vs 93 DOWN days ( 2 up days, Last 10 days: 8 up/2 dn )
---- Nov2010 MTD +10.31 points; Nov2010 % mtd +0.871%

** Note previous posts and the Bearishness, while still greater than that projected for the Bulls, is shifting more often; the S&P 500

Bearish percentage calculation declined from -- (-1.03%) to (-1.01%) and now (-0.90%)

Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 15:28 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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@ - ( 4) Nasdaq Comp Tueday, 11/2/2010 - Close 2,533.52 +28.68 (1.14%)

Date ................. Open ......... High............ Low ......... Close
Nov 2, 2010 .. 2525.94, .. 2534.88, .. 2518.29, .. 2533.52
Oct 29, 2010 ... 2,505.99 .. 2,517.50 .. 2,505.86 .. 2,507.41
Sep 30, 2010 ...2,390.96... 2,400.06 ... 2,354.22 ... 2,368.62

November 2010 mtd gain (loss) off the Oct 29 close ........ +26.11 +1.0413
October 2010 mtd % gain (loss) off the Sep 30 close .....+138.79 + 5.8595%
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 19:17  Edited: November 3, 2010 by Vet67to82 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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From my spread sheets ... reward potential greater than +10%

Company Smbl Sector Oct29 Rank Target Reward Rwrd% Div Yield
EnPro Industries (NPO) Industrial equipment $35.14 10 $44.75 $9.61 27.3478% n/a n/a
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) Computer systems $42.04 10 $53.17 $11.13 26.4748% $0.32 0.7612%
Aarons (AAN) Furniture rentals $18.86 10 $23.75 $4.89 25.9279% $0.05 0.2651%
Jarden (JAH) Consumer products $32.06 10 $39.50 $7.44 23.2065% $0.33 1.0293%
Apple (AAPL) Personal computing $300.98 10 $362.96 $61.98 20.5927% n/a n/a
Mattel (MAT) Toys $23.33 10 $28.00 $4.67 20.0171% $0.75 3.2147%
Molex (MOLX) Electrical connectors $20.30 10 $23.95 $3.65 17.9803% $0.70 3.4483%
Xerox (XRX) Business equipment $11.70 10 $13.69 $1.99 17.0085% $0.17 1.4530%
Intel (INTC) Computer chips $20.05 10 $23.46 $3.41 17.0075% $0.63 3.1421%
EMC (EMC) Data storage $21.02 10 $24.22 $3.20 15.2236% n/a n/a
Total (TOT) Oil- nat gas $54.48 10 $60.36 $5.88 10.7930% $2.70 4.9559%
McGraw-Hill (MHP) Publishing $37.65 10 $41.71 $4.06 10.7835% $0.94 2.4967%
Coach (COH) Handbags- accessories $50.00 10 $55.31 $5.31 10.6200% $0.60 1.2000%
Monro Muffler Brake (MNRO) Auto parts- systems $47.74 10 $52.80 $5.06 10.5991% $0.36 0.7541%
Waters (WAT) Scientific instruments $74.13 10 $81.87 $7.74 10.4411% n/a n/a
Author Vet67to82     Date November 3, 2010 19:51 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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From my spread sheets ... based on fundamentals first and calculating the difference between the 1 year estimated target vs the Oct 29, 2010 closing price ... these 14 stocks are already OVER their 1 year targets:



Company Smbl Sector Oct29 Rank Target Reward Rwrd% Div Yield
Cubic (CUB) Scientific instruments $43.57 10 $43.33 ($0.24) -0.5508% $0.18 0.4131%
Lan Airlines (LFL) Regional airline $30.74 10 $30.25 ($0.49) -1.5940% $0.57 1.8543%
Blount Intl (BLT) Outdoor equipment $15.00 10 $14.74 ($0.26) -1.7333% n/a n/a
Novellus Systems (NVLS) Semiconductor equipment $29.22 10 $28.54 ($0.68) -2.3272% n/a n/a
Ross Stores (ROST) Discount clothing $58.99 10 $57.60 ($1.39) -2.3563% $0.64 1.0849%
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) Restaurants $210.21 10 $203.38 ($6.83) -3.2491% n/a n/a
Infosys Technologies (INFY) info tech $67.44 10 $63.73 ($3.71) -5.5012% $0.45 0.6673%
TC PipeLines (TCLP) nat gas transmission $49.24 10 $45.93 ($3.31) -6.7222% $3.00 6.0926%
Seacor Holdings (CKH) Marine support vessels $94.75 10 $86.00 ($8.75) -9.2348% n/a n/a
Pioneer Southwest Energy Partners (PSE) Oil- nat gas $28.96 10 $25.80 ($3.16) -10.9116% $2.00 6.9061%
Ameren (AEE) Electricity- nat gas $28.98 10 $25.70 ($3.28) -11.3182% $1.54 5.3140%
Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile (SQM) Fertilizers- chemicals $51.80 10 $44.63 ($7.17) -13.8417% $0.36 0.6950%
Royal Dutch Shell (RDS.B) Oil- nat gas $64.32 10 n/a ($64.32) n/a $3.36 5.2239%
Viacom (VIA.B) Entertainment- media $38.62 10 n/a ($38.62) n/a $0.60 1.5536%

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