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S&P 500: 1,317.11 Change: -0.21%
Vet67to82
P&P Score: 0.31   Points: -608.47   Accuracy: 68.73%   Average Pick Score: -4.50   Annual Return: 16.23% (40.60% since 11/25/09)  

Vet67to82's Blog : August 2010 MyCall for the Close

Date July 26, 2010    Comments Comments (12)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (149)   
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Early thru mid-August 2010 MyCall for the Close

I previously posted my foward looking into August 2010 ... 10 days ago. :

The MATH probability prospects for the indicii over the rest of July, and into early August 2010 is UP.

Wow! A tripple cross Foward looking, the S&P 500 will likely rise +3.1% to its 100-day simple moving average (SMA) of 1,130.68 from yesterday’s (7/15/2010) close of 1,096.48 which would also put it above its 200 day SMA ( 1112.27) and 13 week (65 period) SMA (1119.09).

Foward looking, the DJIA will climb +5.4% to 10,920.27, the May 13 High, from the last close of 10,359.31. Again, a tripple cross of the 200 day SMA, 100 day SMA, and 13 week SMA's .... hard to imagine a scenario NOT beneficial to the BULLS.


... may I suggest plotting these moving averages in your charts so we're looking at the same "picture" ....


I will add my daily August calls here

12 Comment(s):

Author Vet67to82     Date July 31, 2010 17:57 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Think of the market like the sport of surfing. Yes, you can paddle out and paddle back in ... but the whole point in going out in the first place is to RIDE the WAVE. ... and just to keep it interesting .... put some sharks in the water ...to chomp on you if you're not paying attention ... and voila ... you have the USA stock market, ...and every stock market, of every country, on the globe.

Even "if one is neither bullish nor bearish!!" ... you'll see a HIGH for the day and a LOW for the day. The above calculations represent a guideline, not a pitch for Bulls, or a pitch for Bears. Everyone is then free to watch day after day whether my posts represent an "honest" attempt to help ... and I DO hope I am helping.

Author Vet67to82     Date July 31, 2010 17:59 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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MyCall for the close Friday 8/2/2010 ... preliminary ( stage 1) ... be thee Bull or Bear ...

( 1) Direxion Daily Financial Bull 3x Shares FAS

Jul 30, 2010 FAS Previous Close 22.61 Vol 44,079,315

FAS .Bullish .... $23.34 ....or Bearish ... $21.67 ( watch the low!)
---- YTD 81 UP days vs 64 DOWN days

( 2) DOW Previous Close 10,465.94 Vol 208,159,136

DJIA Bullish 10537.90 (+0.69%) or Bearish 10,366.76 (-0.95%)
---- YTD 84 UP days vs 61 DOWN days

( 3) S&P 500 Previous Close 1,101.60

S&P 500 Bullish 1110.64 (+0.82%) or Bearish 1,090.61 (-1.00%)

---- YTD 81 UP days vs 64 DOWN days

Note previous posts and the Bearishness, while still greater than that projected for the Bulls, is shrinking.

the S&P 500 Bearish percentage calculation declined from (-1.03%) to (-1.01%) to (-1.00%)

the DJIA Bearish percentage calculation declined from (-0.98%) to (-0.97%) to (-0.96%) to (-0.95%)


COMP DJIA SPX SPY FAS FAZ -- AA AXP BA BAC C CAT CHK CSCO CVS CVX DD DIS GE HD HES HPQ IBM INTC JCP JNJ
JPM MSFT
Author Vet67to82     Date July 31, 2010 23:42 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author Vet67to82     Date August 9, 2010 01:03 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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... Date ..... ..... Open ..... High ..... Low ..... Close ..... Volume
Aug 6, 2010 10,668.55 10,668.70 10,515.37 10,653.56 154,872,023
Aug 5, 2010 10,679.67 10,679.75 10,612.85 10,674.98 139,607,108
Aug 4, 2010 10,630.20 10,702.99 10,627.53 10,680.43 173,362,154
Aug 3, 2010 10,673.92 10,676.95 10,600.96 10,636.38 164,338,835
Aug 2, 2010 10,468.82 10,692.20 10,468.59 10,674.38 167,642,201
Author Vet67to82     Date August 9, 2010 01:04 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Friday 8/6/2010 recap ----
Dow Jones 10,653.56 -21.42 (-0.20%)
S&P 500 1,121.64 -4.17 (-0.37%)
Nasdaq 2,288.47 -4.59 (-0.20%)

Sector summary
Sector Change % down / up
Basic Materials +0.18%
Capital Goods -0.30%
Conglomerates -0.47%
Cons. Cyclical +0.50%
Cons. Non-Cyclical -0.18%
Energy -0.57%
Financial -0.42%
Healthcare +0.14%
Services -0.22%
Technology -0.15%
Transportation -0.67%
Utilities -0.12%
Author Vet67to82     Date August 9, 2010 01:23 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author Vet67to82     Date August 19, 2010 02:04 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Dow Jones Industrial Average in August
.... Date ....... Open ........ High ........ Low ......... Close .... Volume
Aug 18, 2010 10,398.59 10,472.30 10,330.02 10,415.54 168,558,331
Aug 17, 2010 10,297.63 10,480.44 10,297.47 10,405.85 191,339,173
Aug 16, 2010 10,303.07 10,333.12 10,209.53 10,302.01 146,035,201
Aug 13, 2010 10,320.33 10,354.92 10,285.44 10,303.15 151,616,032
Aug 12, 2010 10,361.58 10,361.65 10,268.71 10,319.95 221,030,905
Aug 11, 2010 10,631.82 10,631.90 10,367.33 10,378.83 219,325,268
Aug 10, 2010 10,696.63 10,700.71 10,551.62 10,644.25 203,489,953
Aug 9, 2010 10,654.62 10,719.94 10,649.40 10,698.75 166,333,515
Aug 6, 2010 10,668.55 10,668.70 10,515.37 10,653.56 154,872,023
Aug 5, 2010 10,679.67 10,679.75 10,612.85 10,674.98 139,607,108
Aug 4, 2010 10,630.20 10,702.99 10,627.53 10,680.43 173,362,154
Aug 3, 2010 10,673.92 10,676.95 10,600.96 10,636.38 164,338,835
Aug 2, 2010 10,468.82 10,692.20 10,468.59 10,674.38 167,642,201
Author Vet67to82     Date August 19, 2010 02:05 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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S&P 500 INDEX in August
.... Date.......... Open ........ High...... Low ...... Close
Aug 18, 2010 1,092.08 1,099.77 1,085.76 1,094.16
Aug 17, 2010 1,081.16 1,100.14 1,081.16 1,092.54
Aug 16, 2010 1,077.49 1,082.62 1,069.49 1,079.38
Aug 13, 2010 1,082.22 1,086.25 1,079.00 1,079.25
Aug 12, 2010 1,081.48 1,086.72 1,076.69 1,083.61
Aug 11, 2010 1,116.89 1,116.89 1,088.55 1,089.47
Aug 10, 2010 1,122.92 1,127.16 1,111.58 1,121.06
Aug 9, 2010 1,122.80 1,129.24 1,120.91 1,127.79
Aug 6, 2010 1,122.07 1,123.06 1,107.17 1,121.64
Aug 5, 2010 1,125.78 1,126.56 1,118.81 1,125.81
Aug 4, 2010 1,121.06 1,128.75 1,119.46 1,127.24
Aug 3, 2010 1,125.34 1,125.44 1,116.76 1,120.46
Aug 2, 2010 1,107.53 1,127.30 1,107.53 1,125.86
Author Vet67to82     Date August 19, 2010 02:05 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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NASDAQ Composite in August

.... Date.......... Open ........ High...... Low ...... Close
Aug 18, 2010 2,205.30 2,228.90 2,196.11 2,215.70
Aug 17, 2010 2,197.09 2,225.08 2,193.42 2,209.44
Aug 16, 2010 2,161.31 2,193.84 2,155.66 2,181.87
Aug 13, 2010 2,183.09 2,190.27 2,173.48 2,173.48
Aug 12, 2010 2,164.64 2,197.97 2,163.07 2,190.27
Aug 11, 2010 2,236.93 2,236.93 2,204.94 2,208.63
Aug 10, 2010 2,280.06 2,290.51 2,261.50 2,277.17
Aug 9, 2010 2,298.81 2,309.43 2,289.03 2,305.69
Aug 6, 2010 2,267.42 2,291.15 2,253.92 2,288.47
Aug 5, 2010 2,291.22 2,298.86 2,281.68 2,293.06
Aug 4, 2010 2,291.09 2,305.07 2,283.21 2,303.57
Aug 3, 2010 2,291.75 2,295.03 2,272.33 2,283.52
Aug 2, 2010 2,283.32 2,299.24 2,274.27 2,295.36
Author Vet67to82     Date August 19, 2010 16:27 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Smiling, today's close vs OurCall

Dow Jones 10,271.21 -144.33 (-1.39%)
S&P 500 1,075.63 -18.53 (-1.69%)
Nasdaq 2,178.95 -36.75 (-1.66%)

vs preliminary ( stage 2)

Dow Jones Projected close 10274.93 (-1.35%)
S&P 500 Projected close 1078.24 ( -1.455)
Author Vet67to82     Date September 18, 2010 17:55 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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S&P 500 August 2010 -- 3rd Friday: 8/20/2010
8/2/2010 Mo 1,107.53 1,127.30 1,107.53 1,125.86
8/19/2010 Th 1,092.44 1,092.44 1,070.66 1,075.63
8/20/2010 Fr 1,075.63 1,075.63 1,063.91 1,071.69
8/23/2010 Mo 1,073.36 1,081.58 1,067.08 1,067.36
8/31/2010 Tu 1,046.88 1,055.14 1,040.86 1,049.33
Author Vet67to82     Date September 18, 2010 17:55 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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S&P 500 The Monday after options expiration
January 2010 -- 3rd Friday:1/15/2010 +14.2 (+1.25%)
February 2010 -- 3rd Friday:2/19/2010 -1.16 (-0.105%)
March 2010 -- 3rd Friday:3/19/2010 Quadruple witching +5.91 (+ 0.51%)
April 2010 -- 3rd Friday:4/16/2010 +5.39 (+0.45%)
May 2010 -- 3rd Friday:5/21/2010 -14.04 (-1.29%)
June 2010 -- 3rd Friday: 6/18/2010 Quadruple witching -4.30 (-0.39%)
July 2010 -- 3rd Friday: 7/16/2010 +6.37 (+ 0.60%)
August 2010 -- 3rd Friday: 8/20/2010 -4.33 (-0.404%)

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