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Vet67to82
Vet67to82
P&P Score: 0.31   Points: -608.47   Accuracy: 68.73%   Average Pick Score: -4.50   Annual Return: 16.23% (40.60% since 11/25/09)  

Vet67to82's Blog : The Silver Lining in the Euro Meltdown

Date May 14, 2010    Comments Comments (1)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (104)   
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I am bullish on EVERY USA company, doing business in the EU, today and through Q2 reports ... around the second week of July 2010.

Why? ... Smiling ... the silver lining in every cloud ...

This Euro meltdown is a GREAT opportunity for USA companies, doing business in the EU with euros in their EU bank accounts, to profit from the meltdown by exchanging their euros for USA dollars. Therefore, I expect to see companies like MSFT and HPQ to report currency exchange rate GAINS in addition to product profits.

What tells me they're doing that ... when you exchange euros for the USD you are "selling" Euros ... and "buying" USD. The selling in Euros ... is driving the Euros down ... and the apparent availability of the euro to exchange for the USD signals lack of euro demand ... while the raising USD signals strong demand and lack of availability ... which the USA tried to head off at the pass by opening up the window to the EU. Seems the gov'ts were aware this scenario was coming ... and points for being ahead of the curve ... or this would be WORSE.

Surprise profits, and stocks "On sale, NOW!" ... that's why I'm bullish.
Tags : MSFT   HPQ   INTC   AMD   CSCO  

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Author Vet67to82     Date May 20, 2010 16:14 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Stocks are on sale ... BIG discounts ... BUY now ( smiling ) ...

(1) Trading systems' breakdown caused crash
(2) Germany: Restoring confidence in euro top priority
(3) Cramer: No pain, no gain in this market
(4) NYSE expects all US stocks to have circuit breakers
(5) Staples 1Q net income rises
(6) The Big Money: Senate fails to end debate on bank reform bill
(7) Happy customers, happy investors?
(8) Redford on the oil disaster
(9) Who are the best CEOs ever?
(10) Markets plunge on global worries
(11) Jobless claims rise; leading economic indicators fall. Unions strike in Greece. South Korea blames North Korea for sinking its warship in March. more...
(12) What copper says about the economy
(13) Most eyes are on gold right now, but copper gives us a better read on the economy and a better way to play the recovery. more...

** Jobless claims rise by largest amount in 3 months 5/20/2010 11:55 AM
** Oil arrives on La. shore, edges into key current 5/20/2010 11:52 AM
** ITT awarded $32M contract for Qatar plant 5/20/2010 11:50 AM
** Sears' net income falls on appliance discounts 5/20/2010 11:50 AM

"Last week, S&P 500 forward earnings [estimates] soared again to $88.59 per share," economist Ed Yardeni wrote in a Thursday report for Yardeni Research. "The consensus for earnings in 2011 rose to $99.52.... Put a multiple anywhere between a reasonable range of 13-15, and the result is that the S&P 500 will be somewhere between 1300 and 1500 by the end of the year."

The selling effort has sent the Volatility Index up 25% to a new 52-week high. Options are likely playing a part in the spike since tomorrow is an options-expiration session.
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