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S&P 500: 1,317.11 Change: -0.21%
uwpltre
P&P Score: 90.70   Points: -0.89   Accuracy: 70.58%   Average Pick Score: 0.30   Annual Return: 11.27% (42.20% since 8/28/08)  

uwpltre's Blog : Final portfolio

Date November 16, 2011  Edited: March 24, 2012    Comments Comments (7)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (35)   
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For income:


CA TIP AXP BND CYS


 

Tags : CA   TIP   AXP   BND   CYS  

7 Comment(s):

Author JohntheWizard     Date November 16, 2011 16:16 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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These numbers may be a little deceiving. YTD, four of these stocks underperformed the S&P500, including dividends. REM is just too smal to buy with a fair price.During the past 12 years, this portfolio went down -90%, indicating you may incur a -90% risk. Of course, past performance doesn't promise you any future results, so you never know.
Author uwpltre     Date November 16, 2011 20:39 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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BFR was a past risk and I think thats done with.
The earnings expected next year indicate a turnaround.
So I expect the yield to be safe.
Correct me if I am wrong.
Author JohntheWizard     Date November 17, 2011 17:43 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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uwpltr,
I don't think that anyone is right or wrong in this game. Estimates and revisions thereof are usually not very reliable. You can easily back test that with Zacks' Research Wizard. The stocks you selected have a long history of very steep descents. As you rightfully said, the future may give a turnaround. The only thing I tried to say is that I wouldn't bet on it, given the history of these stocks and the general unreliability of estimates.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date November 17, 2011 19:26 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Uhhhm, actually, UpaTree is in fackt wrong in this case. based on the trendlow BFR formt taday it has a gar-own-teed date with at least 3.50....ann thaaas ass-ooming it gits some relief to finish off the trendy. More selling will begat a loooower targut numba. It'll be yet anudder case of someone who will be given an opp to sssplain the logic behind eliminating a majer chunk ov yer bankroll in order toooooo >Capture the divvie. *-) DizziMo will have a sheeeyitload ov essplainin ta do with all his dummass divvie plays basides....too bad he will be completely silent (by necessity) come esssplainin time *-) 3J
Author uwpltre     Date November 18, 2011 19:13 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Thank you for sharing what you know.
Whatever I decide, I know the risk better.
Author uwpltre     Date January 27, 2012 19:57 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I'm updating my "final" portfolio.
Author uwpltre     Date March 24, 2012 20:00 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I'm updating my "final" portfolio.
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