Before I get into my thoughts, understand a casino wants you to continue playing with "house Money" because they know sooner not later they will recover their money and take yours before you leave the casino.
Now, for this BEAR market rally, I have taken profits along the way andhave jumped in and out of positions when momentum dictates. As of today, I am clearly on the side of the rally is ending. The major factor that leads me to believe this rally is ending is the shear (dramatic) drop-off in volume following this rally. I indicated, I thought a retraction back to 7600 was my target, but I think it could go much lower.
That being said, I am taking money off the table on any gains and building a large cash position. I have started buying "puts" leaps in my personal portfolio. Happy Trading.
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November 18, 2009
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