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S&P 500: 1,317.11 Change: -0.21%
rjm77me
P&P Score: 99.94   Points: 616.65   Accuracy: 77.28%   Average Pick Score: 0.89   Annual Return: 32.85% (94.05% since 7/16/09)  

rjm77me's Blog : Market at cross road again

Date September 21, 2010    Comments Comments (25)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (139)   
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Market went up after FED decision and could not hold gain.

I will be cautious going forward and 2 to 4% pull back may be in cards with 65% probability.

One can still pick decent stocks for up side or down side

Please do your own home work
Tags : AFAM   ATHR   NVDA   PNC   BBT   AIG   FDX   BA   BHI   MRVL   N   SFUN   DWA   ESI   GVA   VMC   MU   WDC   STX  

25 Comment(s):

Author dmonnie     Date September 21, 2010 21:08 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Joe...i agree
what i noticed that some shorts got nervous and covered which caused that brief run up like a moon shot and quickly sold off ....
only thing matters now is some convincing volume for the bulls ...short of that this market will pull back for sure
being short the market overall i do worry about the dollar falling and where will it end up ? gold , bonds , commodities or less likely stocks ...if it goes to stocks i think exporters will benefit ...
Author Burtman     Date September 22, 2010 11:21 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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The dollar is the tell here. When it is done the market will flip.
Author dmonnie     Date September 22, 2010 11:48 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Burtman...i think you are right
my prediction would be that when the US peso hits around 21.and change they will buy stocks...IMHO...i think we pull back to 1085 area in the coming days ...at that point any move to the upside with volume would be bullish
but i doubt we can rally from these levels ?
Author Burtman     Date September 22, 2010 13:25 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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DM - you don't think SPX 1120 to 1125 will be support for this short term pullback? I think 1085 would signify a trend change.

US peso hits 21 and change? You looking at the UUP ticker? I track DXY for the dollar.
Author dmonnie     Date September 23, 2010 09:22  Edited: September 23, 2010 by dmonnie Abuse this post Report Abuse
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sure there are higher support zones above 1085.....thats my more than few days pullback support and more meaningful to me ....

.plus i think dollar will soften some more ....and the way i see it we came down from 1220 to 1010 than up almost 1150 ....down 210 and up 140 ...so if we assume market is healthy and pulls back round numbers 40 % that puts us around 1085

also there are some gaps that need filling 1110.88 and 1090.10...area ,.and they are big gaps ( they always fill ) ....usually within 2, 3 months the latest

more....strongest support below is at 1094...and below that minor support at 1076 ....average out to 1085 ........lets see what happens ........

in my real account i am shorting the index with puts and futures
i have until december ...unless the market takes me to the cleaners first
i lost more money changing course than not ..so i'll stick with it for now
this is NOT an advice ....just an opinion .....high risk involved...cheers..D$
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 23, 2010 09:28  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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XXV to 26.25 bees my call:-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 23, 2010 11:46  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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\:-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 23, 2010 14:02 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Certainly doesn't "appear to be" affecting me numbas too badly and the fact is that I'm 100% short right now. You have "clearly" moved backwards. I'm not really that intrusted in excuses but go right ahead if it moves ya *-)BTW, no need to thank me latta oooon for my MCP suggestion :o 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 23, 2010 14:27 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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LOL Oooooooh kaaaaaaay. :o 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 08:21  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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*-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 09:10  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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:-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 14:16  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 14:32 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Pffft, NeLY hasn't done squat since you last spoke about it. You gonna get yer ave pick score above 1.70 taday ...or you goin even lower yet? How many SPX points do you need to move "forward"??? Just lemme know anna I'll see what I kin do *-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 14:37  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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...




...take loss.


LOL
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 24, 2010 16:26  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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-) 3J
Author rjm77me     Date September 24, 2010 17:17  Edited: September 26, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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3J
You are smoking again - I said NLY is great stock to hold in 401K for 15% plus annual return - including dividends - it is you who love to put your foot in your mouth for every pick. It sure as hell beat your negative return. My trading style makes 50% annual return - go and check all my open and close trades - I mean actual buy and sell price and forget the points. That is why I said I do not care much if I go forward or back ward on this web site. It does not buy me dinner. Say I picked stock yesterday and it went up 1.5% and market went up 1.9% - am I loosing in my trade account - hell NO - i made great money for one day. On site one is loosing 0.4% and they have goofy way to calculate the annual return.
Why do not you publish your actual profit and loss. I did 3 weeks ago.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 25, 2010 19:05  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I:-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 27, 2010 09:57  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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thank you :-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 27, 2010 10:21  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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let's see. :-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 27, 2010 10:23  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date September 27, 2010 12:28  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I "should be" at +500 points by the close on Fri. The bulls need to temper thur buying until closer to the end ov day. "If" they will honor my request I will be ranked #2 or #3 at this site by Fri. Hang in thur,
Author Burtman     Date September 27, 2010 12:32 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Thanks for keepin a clean blog Joe. *-)
Author rjm77me     Date September 27, 2010 13:04  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Well what a change - 3J writing in plain old e English.

I know of some little 3 to 9 months old sucking their tows.
It is pity to find grown up sticking their foot in mouth - time and again
Author Burtman     Date September 27, 2010 15:08  Edited: September 27, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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....
Author Burtman     Date September 27, 2010 16:53 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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