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S&P 500: 1,317.11 Change: -0.21%
rjm77me
P&P Score: 99.94   Points: 616.65   Accuracy: 77.28%   Average Pick Score: 0.89   Annual Return: 32.85% (94.05% since 7/16/09)  

rjm77me's Blog : How to safely play Earning Beaters Stocks - $$$ Makers

Date March 12, 2010  Edited: March 13, 2010    Comments Comments (3)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (74)   
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Please recommend the post if you like the trading ideas.

There are three ways to play Earning Beater Stocks

1. Buy10 to 15 days ahead of earning and sell before earning announcement - the winners will be 75% plus.

2. Hold over earning date and one will make average of another 5% for taking the risk - Winners 75% plus

3. Wait for some pull back after earning or buy next day on any dip and hold for next 5 to 10 days for average of 5% up side. winners 75%.

My figures show 85% win ratio - I used 75% just to have lower expectations. One is happier when the results beat the expectations. It is all in the numbers. Data does not lie. One can twist the data presentation.

MIDD went from 43 to 55 in 17 days and did not do much in next 3 days after earning. Mutual funds managers will dye for that kind of return in a whole year. The move was 25% in under 20 days. Can one find 5 trades in their portfolio in a whole year. One could have traded MIDD 2 more times for $5 to $10 profits in last 200 days. Please back test using the rules mentioned at step 1 to 3.

ACN is another stock with earning due later on this month. It has gained 4% in last 7 trading days.

Nothing beats using a stop loss for any whip saw. Please move your stop loss when stock moves up to protect profits. Please do your home work before investing your hard earned money. My ideas are just based on my research / opinion and I can be wrong.

Happy Trading - beats buy and hold for some folks.
Tags : DLTR   PZZA   NFLX   MANT   MGLN   JOYG   HGR   MIDD  

3 Comment(s):

Author MightyMo     Date March 12, 2010 21:26 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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rymyme

This is somewhat like your #3..

How about this for a twist... Say the stock crashes on good fundamental news at earnings report time (those who sell on the news). How about buying the stock in a couple of days or so later at below value and watch it start to move back..then sell this immediately. I forgot the guy's name but he has a section written on him on a new book out call 'Millionaire traders".
Author rjm77me     Date March 12, 2010 23:21  Edited: March 13, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Trading is not a perfect world. One basically works with what ever market throws at the participants.
Almost every big cap stock which beat earning did that for the first 3 weeks of last learning season. Check out IBM -- down 2.5 after IBM beats by $0.12, reports revs above consensus; guides FY10 EPS to high end of prior range, above consensus (134.14 +2.36) - I traded options once it hit 122.5 after 10 days where it found a support. I will use rule 1 for IBM for next earning and buy puts if I want to hold after earning.
Sir, who is rymyme by the way - I do not use that as my screen name?
Author rjm77me     Date March 16, 2010 11:18 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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If one followed my rule number 3 - then one could have bought shares of A at 30.5 to 30.7 after positve earning release. Zaks upgrades today with outperform at 33.45 - meaning you would have made 10% in last 20 trading days - plus chance to make another 5 to 7% with a trailing stop loss.
This is not a buy or sell recommendation.
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