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S&P 500: 1,317.11 Change: -0.21%
leadon
P&P Score: 1.81   Points: -90.69   Accuracy: 32.08%   Average Pick Score: -5.70   Annual Return: 23.72% (41.78% since 8/22/10)  

leadon's Blog : GoldCorp, Anyone?

Date May 6, 2011    Comments Comments (4)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (230)   
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Made money on them before, as they developed, and lost my patience perhaps too soon, though a profit is a profit.


They seem like, well, more of a real company, instead of a miner, speaking of which, I am always reminded of my favorite defination - Miner:  three liars standing around a hole in the ground.


Goldcorp makes real money, increases production, revenue and income, and the all important net cash flow, while selling something relatively scarce and not easily duplicated to an always willing market clamoring for their products.   And, they pay a dividend and are rapidly increasing it.


Finally, they aren't in to the hedging and derivative games which so many companies play with our money - and there is a loser in every hand played.  GG simply sells for what they can, which I am also willing to do in what I produce, and which makes them more transparent.  I like that - they seem to tell me real results, without smoke and mirrors, while willingly sharing a recently increasing amount of the profits with me, monthly, instead of playing the EBITA, derivative and play money gambling games.


Seems a good place to put the precious metals allotment of one's portfolio, of course, timing may be important, and I think a good time is now.   What's your take?


Leadon

4 Comment(s):

Author JoeJustJoe     Date May 6, 2011 16:05 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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GG happens to be one ov the mining pigstocks that is showing all tops confirmt on a long term basis. Thur's gonna be anudder rally in the gold n silber pigs but GG won't trade to a new 52 week high...plus Jim Cramer jist wreck-o-mended it as his favrit in the seckter. Yer better off taking a baseball bat and slammin yerself in the nutz as hard as you can than buying ANYTHING Jim Cramer wreck-o-mends...you will experience alot less pain *-) 3J
Author leadon     Date May 11, 2011 13:12 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Saw that. Thanks for reminder. Also saw that Zack's has been showing large numbers of analysts substantially raising their earnings estimates - which Zacks says is why a stock goes up in price. Dunno about you, but like Cramer, I don't seem to have much luck playing Zacks ranked stocks, either. Probably my timing - I am not a trader.
Author JohntheWizard     Date May 13, 2011 13:41 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Leadon,

I watch a weekly changing pack of 12 best non-ferrous small-cap miners with market caps in excess of $300 Million. This pack lost -9.3% during the first week of this year. YTD, it had a maximum drawdown of -18%. Last week they dropped -10.3% with YTD settling at -13%. At the time of this comment, we are at -4.5% down for the week, approaching its maximum drawdown within 1%.

Hence, I don’t think we have seen the end yet of this tanking segment. YTD, the S&P500 is up about 7% while this segment is down -17%.

Good Investing,
John
Author leadon     Date May 18, 2011 11:21 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Thanks, John.
As note in my post, I was testing the waters - agreed
with you, not time to go there, and I didn't.

Excellent analysis - I don't quantify it quite as well
as you do, but do watch a streaming screen of
these and other sector's things - my conclusion
same as yours. While GG would seem to have
superior fundamentals and prospects within
that sector, not time to go there now.

Leadon
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