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S&P 500: 1,340.35 Change: -0.84%
TheInstitutional
P&P Score: 99.49   Points: 171.42   Accuracy: 62.77%   Average Pick Score: 8.87   Annual Return: 0.53% (2.11% since 3/4/08)  

TheInstitutional's Blog : ETF Portfolio Strategist making huge profit while markets collapse!

Date January 17, 2008    Comments Comments (1)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (173)   
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There is not surprise at all for me and the ones that read my post here to see happening what I diligently anticipated on this blog in the last few months.

Now the support at 1390/1360 is not holding anymore and the next level of support is going to be at 1290/1277 although I expect intraday lows toward 1220 before the SP500 will find a solid support.

Sectors.

Overweight:
Utilities
Health Care

Normal weight:
Energy
Consumer Staples

Underweight
Material

Short
Financial
Consumer Discretionary
Industrial

Technology

I have upgraded Healthcare to Over weight.
I have downgraded Consumer Staples to Normal weight,
Industrial and Technology to Short.

Market Barometer LongTerm -60% and deteriorating ShortTerm -100% .

Long positions are fully hedged since November 9 when the SP500 was at 1467.

Positions:
ETF Bonds
30% Allocation  initiated Nov8
Long IEF @ 85.23
Long TLT @ 90.65

Sector ETF
10% Allocation  each one initiated Nov8
Long IDU @100.03
Long SKF @ 98.99 (This is a ultrashort ETF so make money whit Financials going down)
Short XLY @ 35

NEW POSITIONS:
Buy SIJ (ultrashort industrial sector) for a 10% allocation

Commodities ETF
5%  Allocation  initiated Nov 16
Long GLD @ 78.71

Stock Index ETF
40% Net Short position Allocation  initiated Nov 8
(Those are a ultrashort ETF so make money whit index going down)
Long TWM @ 69.89
Long QID @ 40.24
Long SDS @ 55.36


International Markets ETF

5%  Allocation  initiated Nov 26
(This is an ultrashort ETF so make money whit index going down)

Long FXP @ 80.50

Safe investing and trading to anyone!

TheInstitutional






1 Comment(s):

Author Brentano     Date January 18, 2008 12:02 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hey Marco, your pessimism is looking more and more justified lately. The Dow is just getting hammered, and the Naz is no jewel either.

Anyone can make money when everything's going up. Thanks for your insight in what to do when the picture's not so rosy.
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