Tonight the asian market are almost on free fall, Europe is collapsing, US futures near two weeks ago crash lows, commodities on free fall, currencies badly hit excluding the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen, flight to quality toward treasuries resumed.
I have the impression that between today and monday the stock market will capitulate taking new lows with record volume.
I know it looks plenty of bargains in the market but the macro economic scenario is taking the lead.
We are facing deflation on almost everything, depression will be next!
We are facing incredible volatility nowadays.
The Treasury is probably going to support the market buying shares (may be with discretion) but it is not enogh.
We can may be see a sharp violent upswing after the new lows but then a steady decline could follow.
It is not a good time for investing in stocks if you cannot hedge or short....
Again I think we will survive but it is going to be tough...I mean the real economic and social impact of the damage is huge and will last for few years...anyway opportunities are ahead for the prudent and wise man!
We are probably going to be able to buy prime stocks at almost penny prices in the next months if we can save our cash power!
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October 24, 2008
Edited: October 24, 2008
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