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S&P 500: 1,342.64 Change: +0.17%
MightyMo
P&P Score: 99.79   Points: 325.91   Accuracy: 62.30%   Average Pick Score: 1.20   Annual Return: 13.01% (53.50% since 1/3/08)  

MightyMo's Blog : THE EGGSHELL MARKET TIDBITS

Date December 17, 2009  Edited: December 19, 2009    Comments Comments (12)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (77)   
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I get amuse this time of year on the number of stock predictions for the following year. I made some internet searches on what was predicted for 2009 and 2008 by various concerns. Overall, pretty awful, especially those made for 2008. However, I wonder if anyone made a call on buying Dietrich Coffee last year.

In the "Only if only I knew...." category....

If you had purchased $10,000 of Dietrich Coffee on January 1, 2009, you would have pocketed about a million. On Jan 1 DDRX could be had for only $.36 per share. Today it hit 34.89 per share before closing at 34.78.

While we're at it, how about a 1000% increase this year on one of my PP stocks, DAN.

Odds on favorite: The Santa Clause rally


What broker is the best to buy ETF's? I found a site that listed the ten best stock brokers to buy ETF's. It didn't list the broker I feel is the best however. It's hard to beat FREE! I mean really free, trade as often as you can with no minimum limit, buy one share if you want. This isn't for a limited time also, they claim it'll be ongoing. Now you need to buy 'their' ETF's but again it's FREE.....several to choose from (domestic or international types). How about Schwab's. I've already made money trading in and out of these.

GOOG.. Did anybody notice Google touching 600 yesterday...yep, about a double from it's low in March 2009.

Those that follow me know I like to follow trends. It might not be the best strategy for some but it's the safest in my opinion. I mean, why would you want to drive your car down a one-way street the wrong way?

Why do people short individual stocks? Isn't it a lot safer to go these three other ways: buy inverse ETF's, buy inverse FUNDS or use the leverage of OPTIONs.....
...... or insurance?

John Pauson, the noted hedge fund manager, who make one (if not the greatest) bets in Wall street history by going against the real estate market and mortgages, didn't short equities but bought CDS...which is a type of insurance protection against real estate mortgage failures.

Burt White, chief investment officer at LPL Financial in Boston, said
"What is going to drive this recovery is an improvement in business spending, not consumer spending,"
I disagree. Businesses will spend only if they see or sense an increase in consumer spending.



Is the current Dollar strength due to the market looking six months out? Won't that be the expected timeframe when the FED will increase rates?

Who said " Does anybody know what time it is, does anybody really care"

OK, the DOW is in the 10300 - 10500 range. I keep hearing that's up 60% from last March. Is that bad? is that good? I think it's nothing. Two years ago the DOW was over 14000....lots more room for movement folks...

Somethng to be said about 'cutting your losses short'.
In the PP game on this site, I always close any stock pick that gets around a 7% loss, sometimes even less. Even with carrying about 40-60 stocks at any given time, I still carry around a 65% accuracy rating and my overall PP scores is quite decent.

To me, it more important to know when to sell a stock then when to buy a stock.


12 Comment(s):

Author TickerBandit     Date December 19, 2009 19:28 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Who said " Does anybody know what time it is, does anybody really care"

That would be Cheeecago :-)

http://www.youtube.com/v/5DlTMkFLfAg&hl=en_US&fs=1&">
Author MightyMo     Date December 19, 2009 22:55 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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TB

Welcome back...
Author MightyMo     Date December 20, 2009 20:16  Edited: December 20, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author frankbean     Date December 21, 2009 09:48 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Nice post MO.

I would be a little leery of putting 10K on a penny stock. In any case, I like your thinking here. We need to work together to uncover these opportunities.

Low market cap stocks ( under 5 billion ) with growing sales and a reasonable P/S seem to have big potential. Though you need to be patient. That is be patient while its rising and your in the green, and be impatient should the trend fail its support.

Looking forward to a more prosperous year.

Regards

Owl
Author JoeJustJoe     Date December 21, 2009 17:36 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hey Owl, how'd ya like that thur DPTR thingy I gave ya? 100% in less than 5 trading daze. Not my best effert lately...that wuz with the UUP calls I blogged about in the same post mit DPTR. I'll try n do better next time...sorry >>> :-( TB, keep trackin that thur NTES vs BIDU strangle I gave ya. "Hopefully" ya picked up NTES at $36 which was the "correct" time. I got "kinda" tyyyyrd o'watchin ya struggle witit so as always I figgerd I'd lend a hand. BIDU is "obviously" still strugglin. It's gonna fall $100 dollahs in a single trading day one o'these days. Tuff to find a "ten timer" that is trading above $100 dollahs. AAPL is anudder one since it bees goin sub $20. And as you "might" recall from the ole Zaxby's...my targut fo BIDU is still in the $30's :o Oh yeah...and then thurs thisn right cheeeya >>> PCLN :o YIKERS! :o :o 3J
Author MightyMo     Date December 22, 2009 09:54 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Session 3 of the Santa Claus rally.....
(session 1 was last Friday with the tech move)

If the DOW ups to 10500 today, I wonder if the eggshell market will crack this resistence point. If it does, watch out!
Author JoeJustJoe     Date December 22, 2009 10:57 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hey! I'm a goldbug! :o "Looks like" the HUI bottomed this moanin so in order to hedge my remaining position in ZSL I added enuff UXG at 2.23 this moanin to equal 150% o'my remaining ZSL stake. ZSL needs to trade to a new 52 week low. UXG "will" trade thru 3.50. Why? Cuz I sed so. *-) 3J
Author MightyMo     Date December 23, 2009 15:03  Edited: December 23, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Day 4 of the Santa Claus rally...Nasdaq and small caps strong today...even with a bad housing report...
Author MightyMo     Date December 24, 2009 12:02 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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The Santa Claus officially started today..however this year end rally actually started last Friday...we're into the fifth day of the rally....

Merry Christmas everyone!
Author MightyMo     Date December 28, 2009 08:44  Edited: December 28, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Tech continues to be the leader as we approach session 6 of the Santa Claus rally. I continue to believe at this point we'll be good long in the market for the next couple or so weeks. I expect to be OUT of all my current stock equity longs by January 12 however.

On another note, we entered into a long term investment by buying our initial purchase of RYJUX, an inverse play on long term bonds and treasuries. We think this time next year, rates will be higher and long term
bond prices will be lower.
Author LilNev2000     Date December 28, 2009 12:10 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Leery of putting 10K on a penny stock? If you don't know about the company, its market, or how the company will grow, you shouldn't put 10K in a penny or blue chip stock. If you have a firm grasp on those factors putting 10K in a penny stock isn't risky at all.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date December 28, 2009 19:29 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Sheeeyot...myself n my trading emporium have plans to buy up appx 40% of the ave daily trading volume of a stock that is trading belowst .01 centavo! :o That's a "less than a penny" stock. Of course we're only planning on dublin our muny a few times :-) Most of yuns sheeple should just do like Lilnev does/did with that thur UXG thingy I just bot at 2.23 last week. Ride it thru 3.54 witme...then ride it back down belowst .50 centavos after I'm done witit. Well, that's what Lilnev is planning on doing anyhoo. :-) 3J
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