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S&P 500: 1,340.35 Change: -0.84%
MightyMo
P&P Score: 99.79   Points: 324.62   Accuracy: 62.30%   Average Pick Score: 1.20   Annual Return: 13.01% (53.50% since 1/3/08)  

MightyMo's Blog : Truly Shameless Hyped and Very Bias Stock Plays

Date October 14, 2009  Edited: October 14, 2009    Comments Comments (29)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (90)   
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The above title is pretty much my disclosure statement. I plan on starting a series of blogs to review, in my opinion, the best stock 'TO PLAY'' in each of their respective sectors.
There are some CAVEATS however. These stocks are good plays only if you think the overall market will continue to trend upward. Most of the stock selections will be stocks that have already moved up and, in our opinion, will continue to move in that direction overall. These will not be 'buy and hold' stocks. These will be stocks to move in and out as the direction warrants and do it repeatedly. The stock to discuss in this blog, for example, is one of those types. The stocks are not necessarily BUY recommendations but PLAY recommendations. There is a difference.
Also many of these stocks are those that I either own or recently owned and plan to re-purchase or wish I had...hence the reason for the title.

The first Sector is Finance. In my opinion the best stock to play is
GOLDMAN SACH (GS).
GS is very controversal. Some call it a 'evil' company, others call it the strongest stock. In either regards I 'm interested in profiting from this stock. It is a high price stock but tends to be very volatile. For example, on Oct 13, it went down to 185.10. On Oct 14, at the moment, it's up to around 193. What you want to do is get into the right 'wave' or groove, and buy this stock on down turns and sell on up turns, on up turns you want to avoid greed and sell. Then wait for another drop to re-purchase. Looking at a 78 or 52 weekly chart, you'll see that it's on a very steady 45% uptrend line since the beginning of the year. It has consistently stayed about it's 10MA.
GS has had ongoing increases in overall market share. The stock price has completed a 100% round trip in a "V"-shaped recovery, moving closer to a 200 point resistence. SInce the stock has, for quite a while now, printed lower lows and higher highs, looking at it's chart should provide good entry points on when to buy and when to sell. If the think the stock has become 'too high', consider this. One joker wag in the PP shorted this stock when it hit a then high of 90, now 100 points later, that person is a 100 point loser.
Last point, I wrote this blog regarding GS the day before it reports earnings for the quarter. Either way tomorrow's price on GS will be very different than today's.
Our next blog in this series will tackle either the Health, Home Building or Internet sector.
Tags : GS  

29 Comment(s):

Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 11:58  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author MightyMo     Date October 14, 2009 12:23  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 12:29  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 12:41 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Mighty Mouth....a suggestion...why not do a post on the stocks you will be panicing out of foist? You can start with these 2 >>> PCLN n BZ :-) Now doan fergit...when you panic ...I win! LOL 3J
Author TickerBandit     Date October 14, 2009 12:50  Edited: October 14, 2009 by TickerBandit Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Look Guys,

Mighty Mo is correct. This market is leaving you behind. If you are on the sidelines like Owl is, "Get some balls". Step up. This kind of overbought trending is what bull markets are made of. Some have it, others don't. Do you have what it takes to making money in an overbought market that keeps going higher? If you don't, then hand your money over to someone who knows how to manage it. Again, Mo is correct. Everyone who wants to benefit from a bull market should still have exposure long.

Mo is suggesting a good play. Its not just that I own GS, it's about as good a play as there is out there. Can you lose money with it? Well, yes. Is there no way to lose? Well , no. Can you make money with it? YESS!!!!!!

Today is an entry day for those who have the balls. To keep your profits or limit loss, sell it if closes down two consecutive days. A bunch of nut heads like 3J may short cover your way to investing bliss. Like I said, new highs and being overbought is what bull markets are made of. One is in the league or a sideliner. Who are you?
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 13:04  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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OK, TB, "perhaps" I'll buy thisn >>> PLAB. :-)
Author TickerBandit     Date October 14, 2009 13:10  Edited: October 14, 2009 by TickerBandit Abuse this post Report Abuse
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3J

Speaking of lack of balls. I notice your Pee-Pee is an "innie". :-)
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 13:17 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hang in thur...and remember...DON'T PANIC! :-) BTW, where were you whenst the markets were lifting off in March? Are you trying to say this market was werth 3.15% per pick? Trust me...it's waaaay too late to start spewing about how much you "think" you know. *-) I'll gladly accept kudos whenst (not if) you are shaking yer head and wondering "what happened?" and you are trying to pick off the last 5% of the moves down....just like you did with your attempts to pick winners in this rally, TB. Owl was right about you...thaaas why you got so pee-a-zissed. You know it...I know it. :-) 3J
Author TickerBandit     Date October 14, 2009 13:19 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Well, I'm outta here. Wasted enough time with 3J to last me the rest of the day.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 13:24  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 15:47  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author TickerBandit     Date October 14, 2009 17:34 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Well now that the market is closed ... I bet that little pep talk peeved some of the folks on the sidelines and really peeved some folks who are short. I figure maybe 1 out of 10,000 who read it actually jumped off the sidelines and into the market. So probably no one :-).

But it should get you to thinking ... "Why does the market keep making new highs"? I can tell you that .... other than the sheer unparalleled strength of this bull market, the incessant printing of new highs is normal and customary for a bull market But if you are one the sidelines the better question to ask is "Why aren't I participating?" If you happen to answer "I'd do it same all over again", then you aren't trying to learn how to be a better trader/investor.
Author MightyMo     Date October 14, 2009 17:55 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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TB

thanks for your kind words.. GS is at 194 after-market after heavy volume in today's session. Of course it's price tomorrow will be predicated on it's earnings number.

JJJ

In regard to your PP GS pick. No one in the real world with real money would short GS at 90 and keep it 100 points later at 190. ..But if they did they would be consider an idiotic fool. Also I don't think you can read. My blog and PP record lately is based on frequent buying and selling trades and repeating it many times with the same stock. It has nothing to do with PANIC and all to do with locking in profit .In case your eyes are bad as your brain..here's what I said, THESE ARE NOT BUY AND HOLD STOCK PLAYS.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 18:46  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author frankbean     Date October 14, 2009 19:15 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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3J, thats fantastic LOL. This SHEOT could be canned and sold !

Can you do one on me next time.

Thanks for the giggle.

Owl
Author MightyMo     Date October 14, 2009 19:26  Edited: October 14, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Yeh JJJ, that's what you need to do. Get away from the markets and start writing juvenile 2nd grade stories that you sorry drowning-in-red-water short friends can read. Your true jealosy of market acumen is showing..Haha
While TB and those like him write revelant market information, you have always resort to name calling. I like to think I always write on market topics except for my enjoyment in battering you. Ok now I know what the three J's stand for.. Jealous Joker Joe.
Author TickerBandit     Date October 14, 2009 19:39 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Mighty Mo,

Your welcome. It was great to see you buying when it was optimum a few days back and its even better to see a guy with the nerve to stay on when its toughest to hang.

3J,

Your performance since 8/5/2009 -17.04 % You are sitting with 82.96% of your original capital.
My performance sincd 8/5/2009 20.57%. I am sitting with 120.57% of my original capital.
Take the ratio 120.57%/82.96%. I have outperformed you by 45% in only 10 weeks. Annualized I am outperforming you by 548%. None of what you say is true. The losses in tickers I lose do not outweigh my winners. The numbers are factual performance under the rules of the game. I haven't taken any losses "pre-market" and have taken my medicine when I was wrong. I have been screwed by the Simulator which doesn't allow me to get out of trade until the market has traded a minimum of 30 minutes and typically with all the damage of the day in. I play fair and I am kicking your pathetic ass anyway.

To everyone else,

Over the weekend I told you why you should give your long exposure room to breath. The Shanghai market is rallying from a higher low, we set a new high on the number of the 52 week highs last Thursday. I told you that the breadth indicators got hit really good this last dip. This can mean one of two things. We either fail this rally with divergence, OR, we rally for a lengthy period with a sustained rally. It takes that much selling to launch a really good rally and it takes that much selling to create divergence.

Today, we hit a new high on the number of 52 week highs. Leadership is strong and making new highs. China broke above its downtrend line. World markets are all rallying. And this rally is coming from the deepest selling in breadth that we have had since the July low. It is most certainly possible to have July-like trending movement. Over the week end I gave it less than 50% (neutral) probability. I consider the likelihood above neutral today. Its up to you, but if you believe the lies that 3J and Owl spew about my timing or about Mo's timing then you deserve to be left behind or short while it happens.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 19:48 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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LOL Glad you enjoyed that thur OWL...will ya send beer now...finally? :o Yeah yeah I know bout my results thur TB. I promise...as soon as I get a funny money margerine call from Zaxby's I will close everything out. But JDShots is coming with me! :-) 3J
Author frankbean     Date October 14, 2009 20:34  Edited: October 14, 2009 by frankbean Abuse this post Report Abuse
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TB. come on now... aren't we friends again


Mo knows it okay to have a giggle once in a while. Provided no one is hurt, or gassed.

I had written a big post about how you were standing out and telling people to buy and putting your neck out there, so that others could profit ( then timed out before I was done writing ). Eventhough you could be wrong. I thought that was big of you.

Anyway, I suspect your right only I wouldn't put my neck out like that for fear of being wrong, and making others lose money. So I commend you for that. ( Serious - no alterior meaning ). The markets have been very volatile. We have seen days where all the markets go up 1% or more around the world, only to see them go down the next day by 1% or more. This morning I was suprised to see Europe ( DAX CAC FTSE ) up by about 2% across the board and then China ( hong Kong & .SSEC ) up. So my suspicion is that your right. Might add to my positions, thanks for sharing your conviction.

I suspect JustJoe's comments might be construed as helpful to make others think about both possibilities. I have been guilty of taking my poms poms out because the market was going up. Only to be pollaxed in the next few days. So, try and buy things that you can hold for a while that are not too far off their bases. Since, if their is a correction, those stocks that are high off there bases tend to suffer the most severe declines. Shop wisely be stingy on the charts, ... dont buy things that are up 80% in the last 6 months. There are always caveats.

Cheers

Owl aka Adolf
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 14, 2009 20:57  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author JoeCole     Date October 15, 2009 03:02 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Lol,
3J, why don't you and MM make a little friendly wager on JPM or GS? I haven't seen you challenging any of his picks with anything real like you did when the market was declining which suggests to me that you have lost confidence in your perma-bear attitude, ;-)
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 15, 2009 07:07  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author MightyMo     Date October 15, 2009 08:24  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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To all
Today might be a buying opportunity for GS.
ALso I have deleted all the non-market nonsense comments on this post including my own. I don't have time for the nonsense stuff anymore.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 15, 2009 08:41  Edited: October 15, 2009 by MightyMo Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 15, 2009 08:55 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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LOL >>> delete. :o
Author TickerBandit     Date October 15, 2009 09:30 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I ditto Mo's last comment.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 15, 2009 09:41 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I axed Mighty Mouth to come in with a buy call...but he's so frustrated right now he simply deleted my post >>> :-( "Hopefully" he doesn't have a noivous breakdown whenst he sees wherst BZ ends up ....as well as DNDN come the close on Mon. :-) I'm wreckin DHI n XHB are not his real estate "chosen one's" based on the fackt that he panicd outta botha those whenst he saw the open :-) TB, feel free to tell us whenst to "buy the pullback" in GS....in fact...I dare ya to. To coin a phrase from Lilnev >>>> "yaaaawn" ...take yer time :-) 3J
Author TickerBandit     Date October 15, 2009 14:07 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I disagree with 3J.

Mo already owns GS and doesn't need to buy it. He thinks there is further upside. I agree and like him already own it RM. Anyone who thinks they know better may abstain or short it.
Author JoeJustJoe     Date October 15, 2009 14:37 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I am shorting it...it's the largest holding of thisn right cheeeeya >>> FAZoo. TB, pleez don't do it without yer FAZ on :-) BTW, whenst (not if) FAS takes out 94.54 and GS fails to follow thru to a new high I certainly "hope" you won't ignore that red flag...but I'm sho you will sooooooo....I'll see you sub 170 on GS come Mon...but I'll see ifn I can't git er duuuun tamarrah for ye. The sooner you realize the downtrend has begun the better off you'll be. I'm basically gonna save you from yerself :-) 3J
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