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S&P 500: 1,351.68 Change: +0.14%
Jonock
P&P Score: 0.74   Points: -157.27   Accuracy: 30.55%   Average Pick Score: -0.22   Annual Return: -6.14% (-24.05% since 3/13/08)  

Jonock's Blog : Do You Still Have Faith in the System?

Date November 5, 2009    Comments Comments (2)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (72)   
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The latest economic data put growth at a healthy 3.5% for the third quarter. All the talking heads are telling us the recession is over, good times are just starting. Stocks are a bargain , and the next quarter will be better, we dodged the economic apocalypse, a remarkable recover by any standard. So why are the institutional investors staying on the sidelines? (as evidence by the low volume on this weeks buying) and selling into this rally (gains given back in final hour of trading).
There are some technical reasons, of course, that would make an experienced investor cautious. A few that come to my mind are:
1- Vast quantities of federal spending have created an “artificial economy”
2- The unemployment rate is still increasing
3- Manufacturing index fell short of predictions.
4- Fed Rate remains unchanged, with no guidelines from the Fed for future direction.

The above technicals, not with standing, the conventional wisdom has always been “ Never fight the Fed”, go with the flow.
So why aren't we pouring our nest eggs in to the quality stocks at what seem to be at bargain prices?
Because we have lost faith in our system. In your gut you know that the statisticians have manipulated the data, no one has any faith in these numbers. They missed the “crash”, didn't they? How come they think they are so wise now? These young well meaning politicos and economists aren't out of work and being foreclosed on, they have jobs and a regular income. There are millions of unemployed Americans who have lost fairh in the system. But without the complete faith of the American people as well as the world's investors, all the kings horses and all the kings men, cannot put the American Economy together again.
Where is your faith level on a scale of 1 to 10?


2 Comment(s):

Author uwpltre     Date November 6, 2009 11:14 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I believe in the future of our mixed economy.
Technology remains undervalued and as always will change the game.
Cash will flow, the sun will rise again. Problems create opportunity.
Call me a 20 on your scale.
Author ladyfriend2     Date November 7, 2009 10:43 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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If you want to follow what big institutions do or don't do, the stock market is not where you will make your fortune.
You will always be chasing what they have already done. This is a game of risk. Blaze a trail into your own
portfolio, even be a contrarian.
In the Great crash and Great Depression, some jumped out of their windows.
Some got rich.
Those that got rich weren't following what big institutions did, nor did they care about "the economy" as it was.
They knew it wouldn't stay that way, looked ahead, invested, and waited.

It's a rodeo. Ride that Bucking Bronco while others are falling off.

I also give it a 20..
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