The Delphi Method
In the 1950s, a think tank for the Air Force called RAND, developed the “Delphi Method” originally to forecast the impact of technology on warfare. The method entails a group of experts who anonymously reply to questionnaires and subsequently receive feedback in the form of a statistical representation of the "group response," after which the process repeats itself. The goal is to reduce the range of responses and arrive at something closer to e…
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