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InvestmentMAGE
P&P Score: 99.34   Points: 48.73   Accuracy: 43.39%   Average Pick Score: 1.01   Annual Return: 14.13% (81.86% since 12/17/08)  

InvestmentMAGE's Blog : Latest entries

The Delphi Method

Date September 11, 2014     Comments Comments (0)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (11)
The Delphi Method
 
In the 1950s, a think tank for the Air Force called RAND, developed the “Delphi Method” originally to forecast the impact of technology on warfare.   The method entails a group of experts who anonymously reply to questionnaires and subsequently receive feedback in the form of a statistical representation of the "group response," after which the process repeats itself. The goal is to reduce the range of responses and arrive at something closer to e…

What Does Quadruple Witching Mean?

Date June 18, 2014     Comments Comments (0)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (46)
A day on which contracts for stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures (SSF) all expire.Investopedia explains Quadruple Witching.This is similar to the triple witching hour, except that the quadruple witching hour sees also the expiry of SSFs. Quadruple witching days occur on the third Friday of March, June, September and December.Also known as Freaky Friday. ...Why is this important?This Friday is 'Freaky Friday'Recommendation:Fasten your seat belt, it sho…

Use the Research Wizard to Find Stocks (John Neff Screen)

Date April 13, 2014     Comments Comments (6)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (49)

Use the Research Wizard to Find Stocks (John Neff Screen)
I wrote a John Neff Screen, based on my understanding of his style.
In addition I screened for  Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or Zacks Rank #2 (Buy).
I got the following stocks:
TEVA, AFSI, RE, RNR, TICC, TWO, NTT
 Then I added the additional parameter of % held by insiders greater than 40% and was left with:
AFSI
Lets see how they fare during these turbulent times.
Invest Wisely:
MAGE

Use the Zacks Rank to Find Stocks

Date April 13, 2014  Edited: April 13, 2014     Comments Comments (3)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (41)
Use the Zacks Rank to Find Stocks
I did a screen for companies with a Zacks Rank #1 (Strong Buy) or Zacks Rank #2 (Buy), which means the earnings outlook is solid, and also looked for companies which traded under $2.00 and over $1.50.
Also with a Market Capitalization over $100 Million.
The following five stocks all have a Zacks rank  of #2 (Buy).
 DVAX GERN PPHM SVLC GNK
Lets see how they fare during these turbulent times.
Invest Wisely: 
MAGE

The debt ceiling will be raised.

Date October 9, 2013  Edited: October 21, 2013     Comments Comments (4)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (98)
History repeats itself, first as tragedy, second as farce.  -German  Philosopher
The debt ceiling fiasco played out as recently as two years ago. This is what I had to say about it then.
Tragedy:
The Debt Ceiling, Game theory, and Brinkmanship (aka “Chicken”)
http://tinyurl.com/lqrs765
I took the liberty of plagiarizing myself to review the current ‘crises'.
Farce:
The debt ceiling will be raised. However, before that happens, both political parties will cont…

Fear & Greed Index

Date October 3, 2013     Comments Comments (2)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (69)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
"Be Fearful When Others Are Greedy and Greedy When Others Are Fearful"
   -Warren Buffett 

Anticipate Volatility

Date September 18, 2013  Edited: September 18, 2013     Comments Comments (1)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (85)
Anticipate Volatility
Quadruple witching on Friday
   http://www.peopleandpicks.com/blog/InvestmentMAGE/4225157/What-Does-Quadruple-Witching-Mean/
Fed tapering (sooner or later)
      http://lexicon.ft.com/Term?term=tapering
Looming budget showdown (Government shutdown?)
       http://swampland.time.com/2013/09/18/the-final-showdown-why-the-coming-budget-crisis-may-be-the-worst/
      http://tinyurl.com/InvestmentM…

Crowdsourcing as a Stock Picking Strategy?

Date March 26, 2013  Edited: March 26, 2013     Comments Comments (5)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (175)
Are all of us smarter than any one of us?
The basic idea is to tap into the collective intelligence of the investing public at large, and gain deeper insight into what other investors are looking into.
My process is quite simple.
Periodically I check Reuters Top 10 best-selling investment reports.*
These are reports that investors are paying money just to get an opinion on the stock. That suggests to me that there is real interest in these particular stocks.
When I find a stock that looks p…

What Does Quadruple Witching Mean?

Date March 10, 2013  Edited: June 18, 2014     Comments Comments (0)    Rate this post Recommend This Post (167)
A day on which contracts for stock index futures, stock index options, stock options and single stock futures (SSF) all expire.
Investopedia explains Quadruple Witching.
This is similar to the triple witching hour, except that the quadruple witching hour sees also the expiry of SSFs. Quadruple witching days occur on the third Friday of March, June, September and December.
Also known as Freaky Friday. ...
Why is this important?
This Friday is 'Freaky Friday'
Recommendation:
Fasten your sea…
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