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Gino
P&P Score: 98.77   Points: 47.77   Accuracy: 41.56%   Average Pick Score: 2.45   Annual Return: 19.33% (61.76% since 3/15/09)  

Gino's Blog : Food for thought

Date February 6, 2010  Edited: February 6, 2010    Comments Comments (7)    Recommended (91)   
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Well, I haven't been around much. As a starving truck driver I had to do something in an attempt at making more money to keep my truck on the road, so I went out and took a train the trainer course, and now I'm training new truck drivers how to be professionals.

As a trainer I sit in the passenger seat while the trainee drives and I get to look around a lot. I find myself looking into the parking lots of malls and such trying to figure out where people are spending money in hopes of seeing some confidence in the economy and some consumer spending.

Sorry, but I don't see much. I see a whole lot of empty parking spaces, even at Walmart. The only thing I noticed in the last couple weeks was some full parking lots at some restaurants, like Chili's, Texas Steakhouse's and the like. You know! The mid grade places, not fast food restaurants.

When I run my screeners, I'm seeing mostly ETF's and they don't look the greatest, so, still no new picks. I've got one open pick left now, UNG which got a bit of a run with the storm that hit the east coast, I guess, but still watching it and it may be gone soon, too.

As for the trucking industry. Arrow trucking, one fo the biggest flatbed carriers went bankrupt, stranding some 1500 drivers all over the U.S. with no credit on their fuel cards to get home. They had instructions to take their trucks to the nearest dealerships and hand in the keys, where they would get $200 for bus fair to get home. This happened just before Christmas, by the way. Lots of drivers looking for jobs.

A few smaller trucking companies have reported to Road Dog radio (on sirius) that they are going through a structured closing and calling all their drivers to come home and once they complete some existing contracts they are gone, done, finnito. More drivers looking for jobs.

Me, I'm still running, but most of my earning are going to fuel, maintenance and repairs.


7 Comment(s):

Author uwpltre     Date February 6, 2010 19:56 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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The truckers must survive. The nation will grind to a stop without them.
Author rjm77me     Date February 7, 2010 12:49  Edited: February 7, 2010 by rjm77me Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Great observations
You just provided one page summary of our economy
From what you wrote, mid grade eating places be the stock to look for in next few months
TXRH - Texas Road House chart looks great and ready forotential break out
Feb 5 2010 Credit Suisse upgrades Texas Roadhouse (TXRH 11.70) to Outperform from Neutral..
Author JoeJustJoe     Date February 7, 2010 14:40 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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I'm wreckin the upside in UNG is %wise similar to GAZ....and GAZ just needs to trade thru 15.50 again ifn I remember correctly. The natgas stocks are "probly" the werst seckter to be lookin fer bargains within right now actually. ....very little upside thur altho a couple o'the gaz yoots will have 'decent" runs. I put Die Energy (DYN) up on me list as a long on Fri sssthinkin it would take out the 1.53 low into the close. Of course the markets reversed on chort covering into the weekend. I'll "probly" just hold it long since it has a run thru 2.10 coming ....which %wise is MUCH better than what UNG will give ya. As fer as the restaurant stocks go...I find it "intrusting" that you are trying to game em based on funnymentals like how many cars are in the parking lot. I remember one clown at anudder stock spewin site who wuz trying to game the stock price of INTC based on the fackt that "they are hitting on all cylinders" as fer as new products with high margin profits. Too bad INTC has topped out for this long term cycle and is now on its way to becoming a $7 dollah stock long term. And trust me...losing 50%+ o'yer $$$ longterm really isn't that bad whenst you consider a stock like AAPL which uses cheeps in thur compooters. AAPL stock will get cut in half at least 3 times. Your best bet as always is to look at the crappiest crap in ANY seckter and "hope" I as your local card carrying Superhero can save it. Intrusted in the retail seckter fer instunce? Why bother with a scam of a company like SHLD which is on it's way to sub $20 dollahs (after I make the markets rally enuff to sucker Mighty Mouth back in at the top of course) whenst you can play a complete POS like thisn right cheeeya >>> ZLC *-) Remember, stock price has absotootimussly nuphin to do with funnymentals. The morons who chased AEZ and the one I mentioned previously, XTXI, into the cold weather just got thur azzes soundly kicked cuz they "figgerd" "the cold snap coming should help the natgas playz" >>>> Wrooooooong! ...again! See that blip down to 6.25 on Fri on the open for XTXI? Morons getting their "stop set 'safely' and at a distance below last support" hit. Seeing morons getting separated from thur $$$ is one o'the most entertaining things to watch in the markets *-) 3J
Author JoeJustJoe     Date February 7, 2010 15:01 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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BTW, Gino, I have been "patiently" waiting for truckin company YRCW to come in so I can save it from bankruptcy. I already made substantial progress by getting a BIG chunk o'the debt holders to accept a debt fer equity swap cuz like everybody else those morons lent wads o'cash to YRCW back in the middle o'the last decade whenst the economonomy was rippin...under 'false pretenses" of course. Well...several weeks ago these idiots realized they had no chance of getting made whole so they had better "settle for at least sumphin" so they don't end up like the shareholders at GM which the O'Bombas took down. The GOOG news is that YRCW is on me watchlist for a buy this coming week and ifn it can make it down to .53 centavos it 'should be" GOOG to go...altho I'm wreckin I will miss by .03 centavos this time. Spekkin o'that thur...I wanna apolomagize to the fokes who bot TSFG at .39 centavos. I missed by a fool .04 or .05 centavos on thatn it "looks like" .....sorry. I relaize I sed TSFG would hit .39 centavos even whenst it twas trading above $1 dollah after any o'the many "idiot ramps"....I'll werk on nailing these long term bottoms a tad closer in 2010 *-) 3J
Author Jonock     Date February 12, 2010 10:32 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Hi Gino,
Your observations are spot on. The Ceridian-UCLA Pulse of commerce index cofirms your first hand observations.
http://www.usatoday.com/money/economy/2010-02-10-truckers10_ST_N.htm
What happens next?
Jonocjk
Author Gino     Date February 12, 2010 13:31 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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What's next?................. I have no idea. We wait and see, I guess. I'm just sharing some observations I've made from the highways.

What I see, is allot more of those huge wind mill blades for the wind generators going down the highways. But I have no idea what company is installing them.

I've also noticed a bunch of new BIG buildings with truck docks all around, most of them have Prologis on the sign, but they are mostly empty. Is Prologis taking advantage of low land and building prices to be in position when the economy comes back? Are they paying for them with cash or are they borrowing? If they make it through and these buildings get filled with trucking companies, distribution companies, etc... They'll be rolling in the dough.
Author Gino     Date February 13, 2010 07:30 Abuse this post Report Abuse
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Ooops, missed this about ProLogis

http://www.peopleandpicks.com/blog/Zacks_Analysts/3266331/

Thanks Zack Analysts
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