the media has been all over the trade that the US Dollar is going lower. just because it is a crowded trade does not make it wrong. sometimes junk is overvalued in the market. you just have to adjust your timing.
Well, the timing looks pretty good now to make your bets long commodities and dollar short. place your stops. price and time stops can be used. if the move doesn't pan out, you are out.
the risk is low and the reward is very high. the dollar moves slow enough to cause little damage.
this dollar chart pattern is pretty big and lengthy, so the move is likely to be a good size.
http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USD&p=W&b=5&g=0&id=p71437815475
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September 11, 2009
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